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Penguins vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Islanders NHL game on March 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
8
3
Mar 30, 11PM UBS Arena
Mar 30, 11PM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Islanders | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Islanders | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
P3 19:38 Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 18:37 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 18:22 Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by David Rittich
P3 16:45 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 15:30 Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
P3 13:16 Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by David Rittich
P3 10:56 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 09:50 Carson Soucy shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
P3 08:49 Thomas Novak shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 07:52 Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:52 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 06:02 Shot missed by Ben Kindel
P3 05:50 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Samuel Girard
P3 04:37 Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
P3 03:39 Adam Pelech shot blocked by Bryan Rust
P3 02:43 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
P3 00:39 Shot missed by Noel Acciari
P3 00:30 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P2 19:57 Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Arturs Silovs
P2 18:20 Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Emil Heineman
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Carson Soucy saved by Arturs Silovs
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by David Rittich
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Arturs Silovs
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle MacLean
Stoppage - Icing
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by David Rittich
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Yegor Chinakhov won faceoff against Islanders in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
SHOT
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Stoppage - Icing
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Brazeau saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Samuel Girard
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Anthony Mantha won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Penalty to Scott Mayfield 5 minutes for Fighting
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Bryan Rust
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Arturs Silovs
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ben Kindel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Arturs Silovs
Giveaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by Emil Heineman
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Elmer Soderblom saved by Ilya Sorokin
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
SHOT
Adam Boqvist shot blocked by Thomas Novak
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Samuel Girard saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Wotherspoon saved by Ilya Sorokin
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Anthony Mantha shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
SHOT
Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Anders Lee
Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Connor Dewar in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Rickard Rakell assisted by Bryan Rust and Parker Wotherspoon
2-3
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ben Kindel in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Connor Dewar won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brayden Schenn assisted by Mathew Barzal and Calum Ritchie
1-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by Parker Wotherspoon
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Thomas Novak in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
SHOT
Shot missed by Erik Karlsson
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Arturs Silovs
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Kris Letang
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
SHOT
Shot on goal by Avery Hayes saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Avery Hayes
SHOT
Avery Hayes shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Anders Lee
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Mathew Barzal won faceoff against Connor Dewar in offensive zone
Bryan Rust won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Erik Karlsson shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Penalty to Jean-Gabriel Pageau 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Erik Karlsson credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Ilya Sorokin
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Mathew Barzal 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
SHOT
Parker Wotherspoon shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Yegor Chinakhov saved by Ilya Sorokin
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ben Kindel
Giveaway by Carson Soucy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sidney Crosby saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Arturs Silovs
Justin Brazeau credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in neutral zone
Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
Ben Kindel won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Ben Kindel in neutral zone
SHOT
Connor Clifton shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Samuel Girard
Rickard Rakell won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sidney Crosby
Penguins won faceoff against Islanders in neutral zone
Takeaway by Marc Gatcomb in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Ilya Sorokin
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Dewar
Giveaway by Ilya Sorokin in defensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Bryan Rust
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
SHOT
Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Connor Clifton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Arturs Silovs
SHOT
Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Karlsson saved by Ilya Sorokin
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 32% | Faceoff Win % | 68% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 11 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 9 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 16 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 31 | Shots on Goal | 23 | |||
| 32% | Faceoff Win % | 68% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 11 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 9 | |||
| 16 | Hits | 16 | |||
| 17 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 16 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Penguins vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Islanders
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +120, Islanders -120
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 47%
- Islanders: 53%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 47%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
