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Suns vs. Rockets prediction: Houston to win, Kevin Durant projected for big game in Monday's NBA matchup [1/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets predictions for NBA Monday.
The Houston Rockets will take on the Phoenix Suns in NBA action at Toyota Center on Monday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Rockets as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Rockets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Rockets lineup will feature players like Kevin Durant, Amen Thompson and Jabari Smith, while the Suns will look to Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks and Collin Gillespie.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Suns vs. Rockets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Suns and Rockets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Rockets a 74% chance of beating the Suns. Our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 115-107.
According to our model, the Suns (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 222.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Suns vs. Rockets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-108) | -8.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -300 |
| Total | o222.5 (-110) | u222.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Rockets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns +8.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Rockets | -300 |
| Total | Over 222.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Suns +8.5 at the spread.
Suns vs. Rockets player props
Betting on Phoenix vs. Houston NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.
Devin Booker is expected to lead the Suns with 23 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Kevin Durant is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for the Rockets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Suns prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Suns are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 23 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 42 |
| Dillon Brooks | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| C. Gillespie | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 30 |
| Grayson Allen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 22 |
| Mark Williams | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 26 |
Rockets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Rockets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 27 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 47 |
| Amen Thompson | 19 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 42 |
| Jabari Smith | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| Tari Eason | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Reed Sheppard | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Suns vs. Rockets game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Rockets and Suns at Toyota Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Suns vs. Houston Rockets
- Date: Monday, January 5, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Toyota Center
Conclusion
We predict the Rockets, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Suns on Monday, with Kevin Durant projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Suns vs. Rockets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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