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Read Article Phillies vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [6/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions for MLB Saturday.
The Milwaukee Brewers will face the Philadelphia Phillies in MLB action at American Family Field on Saturday, commencing at 7:10 PM ET.
Shane Drohan (3-1, 3.11 ERA) will be on the bump for the Brewers, while the Phillies have opted for Aaron Nola (3-4, 5.86 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Brewers as the most likely winner of the Phillies vs. Brewers game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Brewers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Phillies and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Brewers a 57.2% chance of beating the Phillies.
According to our model, the Phillies (+1.5) have a 60.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53.1% chance of going over,.
Phillies vs. Brewers odds [6/13/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Phillies | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-150) | -1.5 (+129) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -164 |
| Total | o8.5 (-105) | u8.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Brewers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Phillies +1.5 | -150 |
| Moneyline | Phillies | +140 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Brewers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB game between the Brewers and Phillies at American Family Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 57.2% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Saturday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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