Jun 7, 2026
Royals vs. Twins prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/7/2026]
Read Article Phillies vs. Cubs prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Chicago Cubs will face the Philadelphia Phillies, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Wrigley Field on Thursday, beginning at 2:20 PM ET.
Edward Cabrera (2-0, 2.38 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Cubs, while the Phillies have opted for Cristopher Sánchez (2-2, 1.59 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Phillies a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Cubs.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's Phillies vs. Cubs matchup, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Phillies a 51% chance of beating the Cubs.
According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Phillies vs. Cubs odds [4/23/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Phillies | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+140) | +1.5 (-168) |
| Moneyline | -109 | -102 |
| Total | o9.5 (-110) | u9.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Cubs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Phillies -1.5 | +140 |
| Moneyline | Cubs | -102 |
| Total | Under 9.5 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Cubs and Phillies at Wrigley Field is scheduled to start at 2:20 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Time: 2:20 PM ET/11:20AM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
