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Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [4/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Monday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will square off with the Philadelphia Flyers in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at PPG Paints Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Penguins game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL Playoffs game between the Flyers and Penguins, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Penguins a 55% chance of beating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Penguins odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -135 |
| Total | o5.5 (-124) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flyers +1.5 | -218 |
| Moneyline | Flyers | +115 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -124 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flyers vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Rickard Rakell is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Rakell a 36.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 6.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Porter Martone | 30.8% |
| Owen Tippett | 26.8% |
| Tyson Foerster | 25.6% |
| Travis Konecny | 24.5% |
| Alex Bump | 24.3% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 36.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 34.1% |
| Sidney Crosby | 32.2% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 28.9% |
| Anthony Mantha | 26.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Porter Martone | 5.8% |
| Owen Tippett | 4.8% |
| Tyson Foerster | 4.8% |
| Alex Bump | 4.1% |
| Travis Konecny | 3.6% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 6.9% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.6% |
| Sidney Crosby | 6.1% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 5.6% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.3% |
Flyers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Penguins and Flyers in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the NHL to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Flyers and Penguins, made the NHL Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Monday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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