PGA Golf Best Bets: RBC Canadian Open Winner Picks and Predictions

Time for some golf betting!

We're traveling north of the border for the action on the links this weekend with the RBC Canadian Open at Hamilton Golf & Country Club in Ontario. Lots of big-name golfers have taken this one off with Rory McIlroy the lone representative from the OWGR top 10.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the RBC Canadian Open, identifying value bets in the winner and placement markets. As mentioned, we're heading to Ontario with a $9.4 million purse up for grabs.

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RBC Canadian Open Golf Betting Preview

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner plays, as well as recommended Top-5, Top-10 and Top-20 picks.

Also, make sure you visit Dimers all golf season long, where we'll be feeding you our trusted PGA best bets on a weekly basis. These PGA predictions are sourced from our powerful predictive analytics model that pulled off some big wins in 2023 and has already returned an 80-1 winner with Wyndham Clark in 2024 and correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler's comeback at the RBC Heritage while he was +1000 to win.

Who Will Win the 2024 RBC Canadian Open?

Here are the five most likely winners of this week's RBC Canadian Open, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models. 

For access to every probability and projection beyond the Top 5 in each category, hit the Dimers Pro button below:

Dimers' Top-Ranked Golfers at the RBC Canadian Open

MORE: Dimer Pro's In-House Golf Rankings

2024 RBC Canadian Open Best Bets

Tommy Fleetwood to Win (+1600 on BetMGM)

Every edge you'll see in this week's tournament is slim enough that it won't get the official DimersBOT "flame" ranking for value, but based purely on our projection vs. the books, they hold an edge.

The first of these is Tommy Fleetwood, Dimers' 11th-ranked golfer in the world and the second-highest from our in-house rankings to play this weekend. He's projected with the second-highest probability to win at 6.7%, calculating to fair odds of +1400, while you can get him at +1600 on BetMGM.

Fleetwood's been very solid this year, missing just one cut and with two finishes outside the Top 40. He's got a T13, T10, T7 and T3, with his best finish of the year coming in The Masters.

Sahith Theegala to Win (+2000 on BetMGM)

We're getting value on our next most-likely winner, with Sahith Theegala drawing a 5.6% probability against his +2000 odds at BetMGM. That calculates to a fair price of +1700, showing a discrepancy of +300 for a little edge.

A bit of a rollercoaster year for Theegala, with nearly as many fishes outside the Top 30 (four) as he does inside the Top 10 (five). A pair of second-place finishes, plus a 5, T6 and T9 show that he can contend with anyone on TOUR. At 5th overall in total strokes gained and the fourth-best putting stats, Theegala is in line for a big week.

Alex Noren to Win (+2500 on BetMGM)

The third guy in our top five with an edge is Swedish golfer Alex Noren to win in Ontario. Noren gets a 4.8% probability to pick up his first career victory this week, continuing the solid form he's displayed for most of the season, though he hasn't broken through his ceiling yet.

Noren hasn't missed a cut this year and has two finishes outside the Top 30 in a dozen events. He finished as high as third three weeks ago at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson and has six Top 20 finishes, which you can get at +115 and a 49.5% probability from our mode.

Akshay Bhatia to Win (+5000 on BetMGM)

Our final bet to win with an edge is the lone golfer outside our Top 5 most-likely winners, but he does sit in our Top 10 and gets the best value in relation to his odds as anyone on here. Akshay Bhatia is +5000 to win but our 2.8% probability implies odds of +3500. That's a $150 difference if you bet $10 on this one.

Bhatia has given us some joys and some headaches this year, and he's coming off one his worst outing of the season, a +5 missed cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge. When he's not cut, Bhatia is excellent - he's finished inside the Top 20 in seven of the nine cuts he's made, picking up a playoff victory at the Valero Texas Open. The young fifth-year pro is 12th overall in Strokes Gained so if he can minimize his woes around the green, we can see him in late contention this weekend.

For some additional value, consider a ladder play on Bhatia for his Top 20 (+210), Top 10 (+450) and Top 5 (+1000) as he gets an edge in each tier.

Mark Hubbard Top 5 Finish (+1600 on DraftKings)

We've got one play for you that's not a winner - Mark Hubbard to secure a Top 5 finish. You can find value in Hubbard's other markets, including his +9000 odds to win, but it's not worth more than a sprinkle.

Hubbard gets a 7.2% probability to finish in the top 5, which would make his fair odds here about +1250, a sizable difference from his +1600 odds at DraftKings. 

For some fun, look at a little Top 5 or Top 10 round robin of 3-4 of these guys.

These aren't the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on our model's recommendations. With Dimers Pro, you can check out our full predictions for the RBC Canadian Open to find your favorite plays, with plenty more edges to be found!

Build Round Robins, Top 20 parlays and get round-by-round updates each day with Dimers Pro.

Dimers' Expert Golf Picks and Predictions

As well as being your best source for PGA golf predictions, Dimers also has the latest golf news, golf predictions for every game, weekly golf rankings, and golf matchup H2H tool.

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