Senators vs. Lightning Prediction: Tampa Bay Predicted to Win Tuesday's NHL Matchup [2/4/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup.

Ottawa Senators-Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions and Game Preview.
Amalie Arena sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning this Tuesday.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Ottawa Senators in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Ottawa-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Lightning with a win probability of 60%, compared to 40% for the Senators."

For expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Senators vs. Lightning predictions page.

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Senators vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 60% chance of beating the Senators.

According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Senators vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Senators Lightning
Puck Line +1.5 (-170) -1.5 (+154)
Moneyline +150 -172
Total o5.5 (-110) u5.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Senators vs. Lightning Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Senators vs. Lightning matchup is on the puck line.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Senators vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Senators vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Brayden Point is most likely to score the first goal in Senators vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Point a 9.1% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Lightning star is a 40.6% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk 6.7%
Tim Stutzle 6.0%
Shane Pinto 5.4%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player First Goal Probability
Brayden Point 9.1%
Nikita Kucherov 8.2%
Jake Guentzel 8.0%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Ottawa Senators

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk 32.6%
Tim Stutzle 29.8%
Shane Pinto 27.3%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Nikita Kucherov 41.0%
Brayden Point 40.6%
Jake Guentzel 38.2%

Senators vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's action between the Lightning and Senators at Amalie Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Senators vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Ottawa vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL betting news, NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the most up-to-date predictions for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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