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Senators vs. Rangers prediction: Ottawa favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Ottawa Senators vs NY Rangers predictions for NHL Monday.
The NY Rangers will face the Ottawa Senators in NHL action at Madison Square Garden on Monday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Senators as the most likely winner of the Senators vs. Rangers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Senators vs. Rangers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Senators and Rangers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Senators a 59% chance of beating the Rangers.
According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Senators vs. Rangers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Senators | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+126) | +1.5 (-148) |
| Moneyline | -190 | +160 |
| Total | o5.5 (-130) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Senators vs. Rangers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Rangers +1.5 | -148 |
| Moneyline | Rangers | +160 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -130 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Rangers +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Senators vs. Rangers player props
Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Rangers?
According to our model, Brady Tkachuk is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Rangers.
Our projections give Tkachuk a 34.7% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 34.7% |
| Tim Stutzle | 33.5% |
| Dylan Cozens | 27.2% |
| Drake Batherson | 26.5% |
| Shane Pinto | 25.0% |
NY Rangers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alexis Lafreniere | 30.6% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 29.1% |
| J.T. Miller | 25.8% |
| Vincent Trocheck | 25.0% |
| Will Cuylle | 22.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Ottawa Senators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brady Tkachuk | 7.4% |
| Tim Stutzle | 6.5% |
| Drake Batherson | 4.9% |
| Dylan Cozens | 4.8% |
| Shane Pinto | 4.5% |
NY Rangers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alexis Lafreniere | 5.7% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 5.6% |
| J.T. Miller | 4.5% |
| Vincent Trocheck | 4.4% |
| Gabe Perreault | 3.9% |
Senators vs. Rangers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Rangers and Senators at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Ottawa Senators vs. NY Rangers
- Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Senators, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Senators vs. Rangers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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