Senators vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Rangers NHL game on March 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Senators
2
1
Madison Square Garden
Rangers
Madison Square Garden
TEAM123T
Senators
1 1 0 2
Rangers
0 0 1 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Senators
    100%
  • Rangers
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
1 1 0 2
Rangers
0 0 1 1
P3 19:29 Shot missed by Adam Fox
P3 18:31 Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 15:46 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by James Reimer
P3 14:13 Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 14:10 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 12:24 Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 12:00 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 11:17 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 08:03 Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P3 06:40 Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 05:07 Power play - Conor Sheary shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 04:10 Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by James Reimer
P3 03:41 Power play - Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 03:16 Ridly Greig shot blocked by Conor Sheary
P3 02:44 Connor Mackey shot blocked by Lars Eller
P3 02:22 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 01:04 Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 19:49 Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 19:02 Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 15:48 Will Cuylle shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  3. P3 19:52
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  4. P3 19:52
    Stoppage - Icing
  5. P3 19:31
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  6. P3 19:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Fox
  7. P3 18:32
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
  8. P3 18:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 18:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  10. P3 15:54
    Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  11. P3 15:54
    Penalty to Vincent Trocheck 2 minutes for Misconduct
  12. P3 15:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by James Reimer
  13. P3 14:13
    SHOT
    Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Braden Schneider
  14. P3 14:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
  15. P3 13:04
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  16. P3 13:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  17. P3 12:24
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  18. P3 12:02
    Senators won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
  19. P3 12:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  20. P3 12:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Igor Shesterkin
  21. P3 11:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
  22. P3 08:05
    Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  23. P3 08:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Will Cuylle
  24. P3 07:24
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  25. P3 07:03
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
  26. P3 06:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
  27. P3 06:05
    Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
  28. P3 06:05
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  29. P3 05:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Conor Sheary shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  30. P3 04:48
    Power play - Conor Sheary won faceoff against Michael Amadio in neutral zone
  31. P3 04:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  32. P3 04:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by James Reimer
  33. P3 03:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
  34. P3 03:27
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  35. P3 03:16
    SHOT
    Ridly Greig shot blocked by Conor Sheary
  36. P3 02:44
    SHOT
    Connor Mackey shot blocked by Lars Eller
  37. P3 02:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  38. P3 01:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Igor Shesterkin
  39. P3 00:00
    Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
  40. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  41. P2 19:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  42. P2 19:16
    Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  43. P2 19:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
  44. P2 17:21
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  45. P2 16:13
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
  46. P2 16:13
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  47. P2 15:48
    SHOT
    Will Cuylle shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
  48. P2 15:14
    Power play - Will Cuylle won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
  49. P2 15:14
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  50. P2 13:41
    Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  51. P2 11:41
    SHOT
    Artem Zub shot blocked by Adam Fox
  52. P2 10:02
    Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
  53. P2 09:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
  54. P2 09:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
  55. P2 08:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
  56. P2 08:08
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  57. P2 08:07
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Igor Shesterkin
  58. P2 07:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
  59. P2 07:02
    Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  60. P2 07:02
    Penalty to J.T. Miller 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Artem Zub)
  61. P2 06:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  62. P2 06:46
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
  63. P2 06:46
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Warren Foegele assisted by Lars Eller
    2-0
  64. P2 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Igor Shesterkin
  65. P2 05:13
    SHOT
    Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by Will Cuylle
  66. P2 04:21
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  67. P2 04:21
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  68. P2 03:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Igor Shesterkin
  69. P2 03:07
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
  70. P2 03:07
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  71. P2 02:32
    SHOT
    Taylor Raddysh shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  72. P2 01:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  73. P2 01:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
  74. P2 01:11
    SHOT
    Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Michael Amadio
  75. P2 00:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Braden Schneider
  76. P2 00:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
  77. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  78. P1 19:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Will Borgen
  79. P1 19:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
  80. P1 18:03
    Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  81. P1 18:03
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  82. P1 17:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
  83. P1 16:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
  84. P1 16:09
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
  85. P1 16:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by James Reimer
  86. P1 15:39
    Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  87. P1 15:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by James Reimer
  88. P1 15:29
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  89. P1 14:38
    Shane Pinto won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
  90. P1 14:12
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
  91. P1 14:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artem Zub
  92. P1 13:49
    Thomas Chabot won faceoff against Rangers in defensive zone
  93. P1 13:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juuso Parssinen saved by James Reimer
  94. P1 13:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Igor Shesterkin
  95. P1 13:22
    Lars Eller won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  96. P1 12:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Drake Batherson
  97. P1 11:52
    Conor Sheary won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  98. P1 11:52
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  99. P1 11:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
  100. P1 11:19
    Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  101. P1 10:39
    Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
  102. P1 10:39
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  103. P1 09:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Lassi Thomson saved by Igor Shesterkin
  104. P1 08:43
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Jordan Spence
  105. P1 08:32
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Tye Kartye
  106. P1 07:57
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  107. P1 07:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Igor Shesterkin
  108. P1 06:30
    Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Juuso Parssinen in neutral zone
  109. P1 06:28
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Claude Giroux and Jordan Spence
    1-0
  110. P1 05:54
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
  111. P1 04:59
    Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
  112. P1 04:33
    SHOT
    Will Cuylle shot blocked by Jordan Spence
  113. P1 04:20
    Claude Giroux won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  114. P1 04:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Igor Shesterkin
  115. P1 03:46
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
  116. P1 03:17
    SHOT
    Jordan Spence shot blocked by Mika Zibanejad
  117. P1 02:28
    Giveaway by Connor Mackey in defensive zone
  118. P1 01:31
    Braden Schneider credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
  119. P1 00:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
  120. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
STATS
Rangers
33Shots on Goal9
38% Faceoff Win % 62%
7/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins16
20Hits39
12 Shots Blocked 8
16Giveaways17
SenatorsOTT
RangersNYR
33Shots on Goal9
38% Faceoff Win % 62%
7/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins16
20Hits39
12 Shots Blocked 8
16Giveaways17

Senators vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Rangers
  • Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators 61¢, Rangers +170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 59%
  • Rangers: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 59%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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