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Senators vs. Rangers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Senators vs. Rangers NHL game on March 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Senators
2
1
Mar 23, 11:30PM Madison Square Garden
Rangers
Mar 23, 11:30PM Madison Square Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Senators
1 1 0 2
Rangers
0 0 1 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SenatorsOTT
Win %
100%
0%
RangersNYR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Senators
1 1 0 2
Rangers
0 0 1 1
P3 19:29 Shot missed by Adam Fox
P3 18:31 Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 15:46 Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by James Reimer
P3 14:13 Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 14:10 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 12:24 Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 12:00 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 11:17 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 08:03 Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P3 06:40 Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 05:07 Power play - Conor Sheary shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 04:10 Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by James Reimer
P3 03:41 Power play - Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 03:16 Ridly Greig shot blocked by Conor Sheary
P3 02:44 Connor Mackey shot blocked by Lars Eller
P3 02:22 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 01:04 Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 19:49 Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 19:02 Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 15:48 Will Cuylle shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:52
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 19:52
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:31
Lars Eller won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P3 19:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Fox
P3 18:32
Claude Giroux won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
P3 18:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:31
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P3 15:54
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P3 15:54
Penalty to Vincent Trocheck 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 15:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by James Reimer
P3 14:13
SHOT
Dylan Cozens shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 14:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 13:04
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P3 13:04
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 12:24
SHOT
Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 12:02
Senators won faceoff against Rangers in neutral zone
P3 12:02
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 11:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 08:05
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P3 08:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Will Cuylle
P3 07:24
Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P3 07:03
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
P3 06:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 06:05
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
P3 06:05
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 05:07
SHOT
Power play - Conor Sheary shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P3 04:48
Power play - Conor Sheary won faceoff against Michael Amadio in neutral zone
P3 04:48
Stoppage - Offside
P3 04:10
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by James Reimer
P3 03:41
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P3 03:27
Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 03:16
SHOT
Ridly Greig shot blocked by Conor Sheary
P3 02:44
SHOT
Connor Mackey shot blocked by Lars Eller
P3 02:22
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 01:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 00:00
Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 19:16
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P2 19:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 17:21
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P2 16:13
Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P2 16:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:48
SHOT
Will Cuylle shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 15:14
Power play - Will Cuylle won faceoff against Claude Giroux in offensive zone
P2 15:14
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 13:41
Shorthanded - Ridly Greig won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P2 11:41
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Adam Fox
P2 10:02
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
P2 09:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 09:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 08:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P2 08:08
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P2 08:07
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 07:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P2 07:02
Power play - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
P2 07:02
Penalty to J.T. Miller 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Artem Zub)
P2 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P2 06:46
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 06:46
GOAL
Goal scored by Warren Foegele assisted by Lars Eller
2-0
P2 06:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikolas Matinpalo saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 05:13
SHOT
Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by Will Cuylle
P2 04:21
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
P2 04:21
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Shane Pinto saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 03:07
Shane Pinto won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
P2 03:07
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P2 02:32
SHOT
Taylor Raddysh shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P2 01:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P2 01:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
P2 01:11
SHOT
Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Michael Amadio
P2 00:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Braden Schneider
P2 00:36
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:36
SHOT
Power play - Drake Batherson shot blocked by Will Borgen
P1 19:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 18:03
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
P1 18:03
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 17:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
P1 16:13
SHOT
Power play - Adam Fox shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 16:09
Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P1 16:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by James Reimer
P1 15:39
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P1 15:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by James Reimer
P1 15:29
Lars Eller won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
P1 14:38
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
P1 14:12
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P1 14:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Artem Zub
P1 13:49
Thomas Chabot won faceoff against Rangers in defensive zone
P1 13:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juuso Parssinen saved by James Reimer
P1 13:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 13:22
Lars Eller won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
P1 12:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P1 11:52
Conor Sheary won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
P1 11:52
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 11:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tyler Kleven
P1 11:19
Shorthanded - Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 10:39
Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in neutral zone
P1 10:39
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 09:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lassi Thomson saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 08:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P1 08:32
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Tye Kartye
P1 07:57
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
P1 07:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 06:30
Power play - Shane Pinto won faceoff against Juuso Parssinen in neutral zone
P1 06:28
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Shane Pinto assisted by Claude Giroux and Jordan Spence
1-0
P1 05:54
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Rangers in offensive zone
P1 04:59
Shorthanded - J.T. Miller won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 04:33
SHOT
Will Cuylle shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P1 04:20
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
P1 04:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Artem Zub saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 03:46
J.T. Miller won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P1 03:17
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Mika Zibanejad
P1 02:28
Giveaway by Connor Mackey in defensive zone
P1 01:31
Braden Schneider credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
P1 00:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Igor Shesterkin
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Senators
STATS
Rangers
33Shots on Goal9
38% Faceoff Win % 62%
7/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins16
20Hits39
12Shots Blocked8
16Giveaways17
SenatorsOTT
RangersNYR
33Shots on Goal9
38% Faceoff Win % 62%
7/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/0
8Penalty Infraction Mins16
20Hits39
12Shots Blocked8
16Giveaways17

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Senators vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Senators vs. Rangers
  • Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Senators -177, Rangers +170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Senators: 59%
  • Rangers: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Senators a win probability of 59%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Rangers in the NHL game at Madison Square Garden on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Senators vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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