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Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union predictions for MLS Wednesday.
Orlando will face Philadelphia in MLS action on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLS model predicts Philadelphia as the most likely winner of the Orlando vs. Philadelphia game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS game between Orlando and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 37.2% chance of Orlando winning, a 38.5% chance for Philadelphia, and a 24.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Orlando | Philadelphia | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +200 | +120 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Orlando | +200 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -160 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Orlando to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ORL 1-1 PHI | 11.2% |
| ORL 1-2 PHI | 8.5% |
| ORL 2-1 PHI | 8.3% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between Orlando and Philadelphia is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union
- Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: Alex Freeman (USA)
Orlando right-back Alex Freeman is one to watch for USMNT supporters this year as interest builds in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup predictions and early debates about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Freeman's club form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Orlando has a 37.2% win probability on Wednesday, Philadelphia has a 38.5% win probability, and there is a 24.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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