May 16, 2026
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Read Article NY Red Bulls vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get NY Red Bulls vs New York City predictions for MLS Saturday.
The NY Red Bulls will sqaure off with NY City in MLS action at Sports Illustrated Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects NY Red Bulls as the most likely winner of the NY Red Bulls vs. NY City game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
NY Red Bulls vs. New York City prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between NY Red Bulls and NY City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 41.6% chance of NY Red Bulls winning, a 35.7% chance for NY City, and a 22.7% chance of a draw.
NY Red Bulls vs. New York City odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | NY Red Bulls | NY City | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +170 | +145 | +275 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
NY Red Bulls vs. New York City picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | NY Red Bulls | +170 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is NY Red Bulls to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
NY Red Bulls vs. New York City: Correct score predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NYR 1-1 NYC | 9.7% |
| NYR 2-1 NYC | 8.5% |
| NYR 1-2 NYC | 7.9% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
NY Red Bulls vs. New York City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between NY Red Bulls and NY City in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: NY Red Bulls vs. New York City
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: John Tolkin (USA)
NY Red Bulls left-back John Tolkin is on the radar for USMNT fans as excitement builds in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—a tournament sparking interest in World Cup news and early speculation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Tolkin's club form will be tracked closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, NY Red Bulls have a 41.6% win probability on Saturday, NY City has a 35.7% win probability, and there is a 22.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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