Rangers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Rangers are favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [3/25/2026]

The Toronto Maple Leafs and NY Rangers are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, with puck drop at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Rangers a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Maple Leafs.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Rangers vs. Maple Leafs matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Rangers and Maple Leafs, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Rangers a 51% chance of defeating the Maple Leafs.

According to our model, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Rangers	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	-1.5 (+190)	+1.5 (-210)
Moneyline	-130	+110
Total	o6 (-120)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Maple Leafs +1.5	-210
Moneyline	Maple Leafs	+110
Total	Under 6	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Rangers vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, William Nylander is most likely to score an anytime goal in Rangers vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Nylander a 43.9% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is an 8.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Rangers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alexis Lafreniere	31.8%
Mika Zibanejad	30.7%
J.T. Miller	26.6%
Vincent Trocheck	25.1%
Will Cuylle	22.9%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
William Nylander	43.9%
John Tavares	38.3%
Matthew Knies	38.0%
Matias Maccelli	25.3%
Benoit-Olivier Groulx	24.8%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Rangers

Player	First Goal Probability
Alexis Lafreniere	5.8%
Mika Zibanejad	5.5%
J.T. Miller	5.4%
Vincent Trocheck	4.9%
Will Cuylle	3.8%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
William Nylander	8.8%
Matthew Knies	8.1%
John Tavares	7.9%
Benoit-Olivier Groulx	5.0%
Matias Maccelli	4.2%

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Rangers at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Rangers, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Maple Leafs on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rangers vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.