Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rangers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 25, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL sport icon
NHL
Rangers
3
4
Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Scotiabank Arena
TEAM123T
Rangers
0 2 1 3
Maple Leafs
2 1 1 4
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rangers
    0%
  • Maple Leafs
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Rangers
0 2 1 3
Maple Leafs
2 1 1 4
P3 19:56 Power play - Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
P3 19:15 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:41 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:24 Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:18 Jake McCabe shot blocked by Will Borgen
P3 16:43 Adam Fox shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
P3 16:09 Matthew Robertson shot blocked by teammate
P3 15:03 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:48 Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 14:12 Shot on goal by Rangers saved by Joseph Woll
P3 13:10 Shot missed by Adam Sykora
P3 11:57 Shot missed by John Tavares
P3 11:17 Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Igor Shesterkin
P3 10:48 Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:59 Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Vincent Trocheck
P3 08:44 Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
P3 08:32 Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P3 08:02 William Nylander shot blocked by Braden Schneider
P3 06:53 Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
P3 05:43 Shot missed by Max Domi
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
  3. P3 19:40
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
  4. P3 19:40
    Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Cross Checking
  5. P3 19:34
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  6. P3 19:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Joseph Woll
  7. P3 19:11
    Alexis Lafreniere won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  8. P3 19:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  9. P3 18:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Joseph Woll
  10. P3 18:27
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  11. P3 18:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Joseph Woll
  12. P3 18:18
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by Will Borgen
  13. P3 16:43
    SHOT
    Adam Fox shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  14. P3 16:39
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  15. P3 16:09
    SHOT
    Matthew Robertson shot blocked by teammate
  16. P3 15:03
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Joseph Woll
  17. P3 14:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Igor Shesterkin
  18. P3 14:12
    Max Domi won faceoff against J.T. Miller in defensive zone
  19. P3 14:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rangers saved by Joseph Woll
  20. P3 14:12
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  21. P3 13:28
    Stoppage - Offside
  22. P3 13:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Sykora
  23. P3 11:57
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  24. P3 11:57
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  25. P3 11:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Igor Shesterkin
  26. P3 10:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Joseph Woll
  27. P3 08:59
    SHOT
    Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Vincent Trocheck
  28. P3 08:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov
  29. P3 08:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
  30. P3 08:02
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Braden Schneider
  31. P3 06:53
    SHOT
    Vladislav Gavrikov shot blocked by Steven Lorentz
  32. P3 06:21
    Max Domi won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in defensive zone
  33. P3 05:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  34. P3 04:40
    Giveaway by Vincent Iorio in offensive zone
  35. P3 04:36
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexis Lafreniere
  36. P3 04:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Robertson saved by Joseph Woll
  37. P3 03:38
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  38. P3 03:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  39. P3 03:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonny Brodzinski saved by Joseph Woll
  40. P3 03:03
    SHOT
    Jaroslav Chmelar shot blocked by Jacob Quillan
  41. P3 02:58
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Vladislav Gavrikov
  42. P3 02:53
    SHOT
    Adam Fox shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  43. P3 02:50
    Giveaway by Troy Stecher in defensive zone
  44. P3 02:31
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Joseph Woll
  45. P3 02:22
    SHOT
    Nicholas Robertson shot blocked by Will Borgen
  46. P3 02:00
    Rangers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  47. P3 02:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  48. P3 01:09
    SHOT
    Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Tye Kartye
  49. P3 00:40
    Bo Groulx won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in offensive zone
  50. P3 00:40
    Stoppage - Icing
  51. P3 00:28
    SHOT
    Shot missed by John Tavares
  52. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  53. P2 19:38
    SHOT
    Tye Kartye shot blocked by Simon Benoit
  54. P2 19:08
    SHOT
    Matthew Robertson shot blocked by William Nylander
  55. P2 18:27
    Stoppage - Offside
  56. P2 18:17
    SHOT
    William Nylander shot blocked by Braden Schneider
  57. P2 18:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Simon Benoit saved by Igor Shesterkin
  58. P2 17:47
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Vincent Trocheck saved by Joseph Woll
  59. P2 17:39
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Joseph Woll
  60. P2 17:02
    Power play - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against Steven Lorentz in offensive zone
  61. P2 16:11
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
  62. P2 16:11
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  63. P2 15:51
    Giveaway by Will Borgen in defensive zone
  64. P2 14:39
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  65. P2 14:39
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  66. P2 14:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Sykora saved by Joseph Woll
  67. P2 13:21
    SHOT
    Oliver Ekman-Larsson shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
  68. P2 13:16
    John Tavares won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in offensive zone
  69. P2 13:09
    Rangers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  70. P2 11:31
    Max Domi won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  71. P2 10:22
    John Tavares won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in neutral zone
  72. P2 10:22
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  73. P2 10:16
    Rangers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  74. P2 09:55
    Penalty to Simon Benoit 2 minutes for Misconduct
  75. P2 09:55
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
  76. P2 08:20
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jonny Brodzinski saved by Joseph Woll
  77. P2 07:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  78. P2 06:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Max Domi
  79. P2 06:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by J.T. Miller saved by Joseph Woll
  80. P2 05:41
    Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
  81. P2 05:41
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dakota Joshua
    0-3
  82. P2 05:26
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  83. P2 05:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  84. P2 05:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexis Lafreniere saved by Joseph Woll
  85. P2 04:13
    Giveaway by Will Borgen in defensive zone
  86. P2 03:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  87. P2 03:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Joseph Woll
  88. P2 03:00
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
  89. P2 02:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Mika Zibanejad
  90. P2 02:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by J.T. Miller
  91. P2 01:22
    Penalty to Dakota Joshua 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Tye Kartye)
  92. P2 00:46
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Bo Groulx in offensive zone
  93. P2 00:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tye Kartye saved by Joseph Woll
  94. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  95. P1 18:22
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Max Domi
  96. P1 18:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Igor Shesterkin
  97. P1 16:55
    Shorthanded - Vincent Trocheck won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
  98. P1 15:49
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Fox saved by Joseph Woll
  99. P1 13:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Igor Shesterkin
  100. P1 12:29
    John Tavares won faceoff against J.T. Miller in offensive zone
  101. P1 12:09
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Max Domi in neutral zone
  102. P1 12:08
    Max Domi won faceoff against J.T. Miller in neutral zone
  103. P1 12:08
    Rangers won faceoff against Maple Leafs in neutral zone
  104. P1 12:00
    SHOT
    Will Borgen shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  105. P1 11:06
    John Tavares won faceoff against Mika Zibanejad in defensive zone
  106. P1 11:06
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  107. P1 11:04
    SHOT
    Jaroslav Chmelar shot blocked by Jake McCabe
  108. P1 10:33
    SHOT
    Jake McCabe shot blocked by Braden Schneider
  109. P1 10:30
    Stoppage - Icing
  110. P1 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rangers saved by Joseph Woll
  111. P1 09:43
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Easton Cowan
  112. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mika Zibanejad saved by Joseph Woll
  113. P1 07:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Cuylle saved by Joseph Woll
  114. P1 07:17
    Jacob Quillan won faceoff against Vincent Trocheck in offensive zone
  115. P1 07:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jacob Quillan saved by Igor Shesterkin
  116. P1 06:58
    J.T. Miller won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in offensive zone
  117. P1 06:58
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  118. P1 06:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Gabe Perreault saved by Joseph Woll
  119. P1 05:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Fox
  120. P1 05:15
    Max Domi won faceoff against Jonny Brodzinski in neutral zone
  121. P1 04:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Sykora saved by Joseph Woll
  122. P1 03:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Igor Shesterkin
  123. P1 02:59
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against Jacob Quillan in defensive zone
  124. P1 02:30
    Giveaway by Troy Stecher in defensive zone
  125. P1 02:03
    Vincent Trocheck credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
  126. P1 01:46
    Simon Benoit credited with hit on Matthew Robertson in defensive zone
  127. P1 01:45
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Adam Sykora
  128. P1 01:33
    SHOT
    Adam Sykora shot blocked by Brandon Carlo
  129. P1 01:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  130. P1 00:57
    Tye Kartye credited with hit on Brandon Carlo in offensive zone
  131. P1 00:00
    Mika Zibanejad won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stats
Rangers
STATS
Maple Leafs
43Shots on Goal18
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins8
25Hits25
12 Shots Blocked 17
15Giveaways13
RangersNYR
Maple LeafsTOR
43Shots on Goal18
56% Faceoff Win % 44%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins8
25Hits25
12 Shots Blocked 17
15Giveaways13

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rangers vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rangers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Rangers 56¢, Maple Leafs 45¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rangers: 51%
  • Maple Leafs: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rangers a win probability of 51%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rangers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.