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Islanders vs. Penguins prediction: Why Islanders are favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/9/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins and NY Isles will meet in the NHL at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Islanders as the most likely winner of today's game.
For further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Islanders vs. Penguins predictions page.
Isles vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Islanders a 51% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Islanders vs. Penguins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+195) | +1.5 (-220) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | o6 (-115) | u6 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Islanders vs. Penguins picks and best bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Islanders vs. Penguins matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Islanders vs. Penguins player props
Who will score the first goal in Islanders vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Pittsburgh's Sidney Crosby is most likely to score the first goal in Islanders vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Crosby a 7.6% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Penguins star is a 37.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 5.5% |
| Bo Horvat | 5.4% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 4.3% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 7.6% |
| Rickard Rakell | 7.4% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.7% |
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 31.9% |
| Anders Lee | 30.9% |
| Kyle Palmieri | 24.3% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 37.1% |
| Rickard Rakell | 35.0% |
| Anthony Mantha | 26.6% |
Isles vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Penguins and Islanders at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
Dimers' full preview of Thursday's Islanders vs. Penguins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Isles vs. Penguins picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Islanders, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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