Islanders vs. Senators prediction: Ottawa favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [3/19/2026]

NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET as the NY Islanders square off with the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Senators as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Senators game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Isles vs. Senators prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Islanders and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Senators a 56% chance of beating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 52% chance of staying under.

Islanders vs. Senators odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Islanders	Senators
Puck Line	+1.5 (-230)	-1.5 (+198)
Moneyline	+105	-122
Total	o6 (-105)	u6 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Islanders vs. Senators picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Senators -1.5	+198
Moneyline	Senators	-122
Total	Under 6	-115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Senators -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Islanders vs. Senators player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Senators?

According to our model, Tim Stutzle is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Senators.

Our projections give Stutzle a 35.1% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 6.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	33.2%
Mathew Barzal	26.8%
Anders Lee	23.2%
Simon Holmstrom	20.5%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	19.2%

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Tim Stutzle	35.1%
Brady Tkachuk	34.5%
Drake Batherson	28.9%
Dylan Cozens	27.2%
Shane Pinto	23.8%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	6.6%
Mathew Barzal	4.9%
Anders Lee	4.5%
Simon Holmstrom	3.7%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	3.4%

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	7.1%
Tim Stutzle	6.9%
Dylan Cozens	5.8%
Drake Batherson	5.5%
Shane Pinto	4.8%

Isles vs. Senators game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Senators and Islanders at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators
• Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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