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Islanders vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Senators NHL game on March 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Islanders
2
3
Mar 19, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Mar 19, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 1 1 2
Senators
0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
IslandersNYI
Win %
0%
100%
SenatorsOTT
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
0 1 1 2
Senators
0 1 2 3
P3 19:45 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 16:10 Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:53 Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 15:29 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 13:59 Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 13:28 Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 12:04 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:32 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 09:36 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:31 Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:53 Jordan Spence shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 05:12 Goal scored by Warren Foegele assisted by Fabian Zetterlund and Dennis Gilbert
P3 01:39 Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P2 19:58 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P2 18:44 Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Artem Zub
P2 17:41 Power play - Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 17:14 Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 16:33 Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P2 16:10 Shot missed by Anders Lee
P2 15:29 Shot missed by Emil Heineman
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:57
Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P3 19:57
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:50
Stoppage - Home Timeout
P3 19:48
Stoppage - Visitor Timeout
P3 19:47
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P3 19:45
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 19:12
Giveaway by Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P3 18:49
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P3 17:46
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P3 17:45
Stoppage - Icing
P3 16:39
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P3 16:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 16:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Amadio saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 15:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Chabot
P3 15:29
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 14:28
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P3 13:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Fabian Zetterlund saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 13:43
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
P3 13:35
Warren Foegele won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P3 13:35
Stoppage - Clock Problem
P3 13:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Jordan Spence
P3 12:55
Emil Heineman credited with hit on Thomas Chabot in defensive zone
P3 12:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:20
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
P3 10:53
Fabian Zetterlund credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
P3 10:46
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
P3 10:39
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
P3 10:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 10:32
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Artem Zub
P3 09:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:31
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by teammate
P3 08:25
Stoppage - Icing
P3 07:53
SHOT
Jordan Spence shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P3 07:10
Carson Soucy credited with hit on Michael Amadio in defensive zone
P3 05:50
Takeaway by Tyler Kleven in neutral zone
P3 05:43
Claude Giroux credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
P3 05:12
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P3 05:12
GOAL
Goal scored by Warren Foegele assisted by Fabian Zetterlund and Dennis Gilbert
2-2
P3 04:41
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Mathew Barzal in defensive zone
P3 04:04
Stoppage - Offside
P3 03:36
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
P3 03:36
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 03:12
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
P3 03:12
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 02:39
Takeaway by Lars Eller in offensive zone
P3 02:13
Warren Foegele credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in offensive zone
P3 02:02
Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P3 01:39
SHOT
Scott Mayfield shot blocked by Jordan Spence
P3 01:34
Islanders won faceoff against Senators in offensive zone
P3 00:53
Michael Amadio credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
P3 00:26
Giveaway by Tyler Kleven in defensive zone
P3 00:00
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P2 19:30
Takeaway by Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
P2 19:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 18:44
SHOT
Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Artem Zub
P2 17:41
SHOT
Power play - Brayden Schenn shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 17:14
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
P2 17:06
Penalty to Lars Eller 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Simon Holmstrom)
P2 17:06
Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P2 16:33
SHOT
Shot missed by Adam Pelech
P2 16:19
Lars Eller won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
P2 16:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 16:10
SHOT
Shot missed by Anders Lee
P2 15:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Emil Heineman
P2 14:46
Emil Heineman credited with hit on Nick Cousins in offensive zone
P2 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by James Reimer
P2 13:57
Claude Giroux won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
P2 12:53
Shorthanded - Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 12:53
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 12:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P2 12:03
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
P2 11:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 11:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 11:13
Power play - Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P2 11:13
Penalty to Bo Horvat 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
P2 11:13
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 10:27
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 10:16
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
P2 10:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:50
Shorthanded - Claude Giroux won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P2 08:50
Penalty to Artem Zub 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Mathew Barzal)
P2 08:24
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ridly Greig in offensive zone
P2 08:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by James Reimer
P2 07:33
SHOT
Kyle MacLean shot blocked by Nikolas Matinpalo
P2 07:01
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by Dylan Cozens
P2 06:41
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
P2 06:41
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 06:27
SHOT
Tyler Kleven shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
P2 05:58
Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P2 05:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 05:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by James Reimer
P2 04:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Ridly Greig
P2 04:45
GOAL
Goal scored by Matthew Schaefer assisted by Ryan Pulock
1-0
P2 04:39
Stoppage - Icing
P2 04:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P2 03:38
Power play - Takeaway by Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
P2 03:04
Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
P2 03:02
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by James Reimer
P2 02:43
Power play - Anders Lee won faceoff against Shane Pinto in neutral zone
P2 02:07
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P2 01:55
Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P2 01:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by James Reimer
P2 01:07
Giveaway by Michael Amadio in offensive zone
P2 00:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Ilya Sorokin
P2 00:00
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:11
Power play - Giveaway by Drake Batherson in neutral zone
P1 18:33
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 18:29
SHOT
Power play - Tim Stutzle shot blocked by teammate
P1 18:11
Penalty to Carson Soucy 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Drake Batherson)
P1 18:11
Islanders won faceoff against Senators in neutral zone
P1 18:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
P1 17:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Carson Soucy
P1 17:14
SHOT
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Carson Soucy
P1 16:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 16:23
SHOT
Nikolas Matinpalo shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P1 15:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Cousins saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 15:34
SHOT
Shot missed by Shane Pinto
P1 14:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by James Reimer
P1 14:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
P1 13:05
Lars Eller won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
P1 13:05
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:57
Stoppage - Icing
P1 12:30
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Cousins
P1 11:52
SHOT
Adam Pelech shot blocked by Warren Foegele
P1 11:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by James Reimer
P1 10:50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Claude Giroux in defensive zone
P1 10:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 10:47
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Kleven saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 10:26
Lars Eller won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
P1 10:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 10:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by James Reimer
P1 09:23
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
P1 09:23
Stoppage - Offside
P1 09:12
Lars Eller won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
P1 09:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by James Reimer
P1 08:36
Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
P1 08:09
Power play - Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
P1 06:35
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Thomas Chabot saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 06:32
Penalty to Dylan Cozens 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Matthew Schaefer)
P1 06:32
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P1 05:54
Penalty to Brayden Schenn 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 05:50
Brady Tkachuk won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
P1 05:50
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:21
SHOT
Carson Soucy shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 04:41
Shane Pinto won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
P1 04:41
Stoppage - Icing
P1 03:28
SHOT
Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Dennis Gilbert
P1 02:59
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
P1 02:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Sorokin
P1 02:29
SHOT
Nick Cousins shot blocked by teammate
P1 01:14
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Thomas Chabot
P1 00:14
Nick Cousins credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
P1 00:01
Penalty to Anders Lee 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Brady Tkachuk)
P1 00:00
Ridly Greig won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Senators
19Shots on Goal26
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins18
19Hits29
10Shots Blocked17
14Giveaways15
IslandersNYI
SenatorsOTT
19Shots on Goal26
47% Faceoff Win % 53%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
14Penalty Infraction Mins18
19Hits29
10Shots Blocked17
14Giveaways15

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Islanders vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Senators
  • Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Senators favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +112, Senators -112

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 44%
  • Senators: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 44%, while the Senators have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Senators are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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