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Islanders vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [3/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get NY Islanders vs Montreal Canadiens predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Montreal Canadiens will face the NY Islanders in NHL action at Bell Centre on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Canadiens as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Canadiens game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Habs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Islanders and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Canadiens a 55% chance of beating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Islanders vs. Canadiens odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-225) | -1.5 (+195) |
| Moneyline | +102 | -120 |
| Total | o5.5 (-140) | u5.5 (+114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Canadiens picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens -1.5 | +195 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | -120 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +114 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Canadiens to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Islanders vs. Canadiens player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Caufield a 38.2% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is an 8.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 31.9% |
| Anders Lee | 25.6% |
| Mathew Barzal | 25.6% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 21.8% |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 21.4% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 38.2% |
| Nick Suzuki | 30.8% |
| Ivan Demidov | 25.3% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 23.7% |
| Alexandre Texier | 22.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 6.7% |
| Mathew Barzal | 5.2% |
| Anders Lee | 4.8% |
| Brayden Schenn | 3.7% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 3.6% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 8.2% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.9% |
| Ivan Demidov | 4.6% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 4.6% |
| Alex Newhook | 4.4% |
Isles vs. Habs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Canadiens and Islanders at Bell Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Canadiens, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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