Islanders vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Canadiens NHL game on March 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Islanders
3
7
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123T
Islanders
2 0 1 3
Canadiens
1 2 4 7
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    0%
  • Canadiens
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Islanders
2 0 1 3
Canadiens
1 2 4 7
P3 17:04 Emil Heineman shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
P3 14:57 Power play - Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Nick Suzuki
P3 13:37 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by David Rittich
P3 13:29 Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
P3 12:06 Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 11:49 Shot missed by Noah Dobson
P3 11:20 Goal scored by Cole Caufield
P3 11:08 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 10:27 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
P3 10:19 Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 09:32 Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 08:31 Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
P3 06:25 Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 06:20 Shot missed by Jake Evans
P3 05:32 Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
P3 02:48 Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:42 Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 02:05 Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 01:40 Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
P2 18:52 Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 18:59
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  3. P3 18:59
    Stoppage - Offside
  4. P3 18:17
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  5. P3 17:33
    Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  6. P3 17:04
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  7. P3 15:20
    Giveaway by Brendan Gallagher in neutral zone
  8. P3 15:08
    Joseph Veleno credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
  9. P3 14:59
    Penalty to Nick Suzuki 10 minutes for Misconduct
  10. P3 14:57
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Cole Caufield assisted by Nick Suzuki
    3-7
  11. P3 14:28
    Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  12. P3 14:28
    Penalty to Marc Gatcomb 2 minutes for Misconduct
  13. P3 13:57
    Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
  14. P3 13:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by David Rittich
  15. P3 13:29
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
  16. P3 12:06
    SHOT
    Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  17. P3 11:49
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  18. P3 11:34
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  19. P3 11:20
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Cole Caufield
    3-6
  20. P3 11:08
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  21. P3 10:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  22. P3 10:27
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Juraj Slafkovský
  23. P3 10:21
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  24. P3 10:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Jacob Fowler
  25. P3 09:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Ilya Sorokin
  26. P3 08:31
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Oliver Kapanen
  27. P3 08:08
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  28. P3 07:26
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  29. P3 07:26
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  30. P3 07:16
    Giveaway by Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
  31. P3 06:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jake Evans saved by Ilya Sorokin
  32. P3 06:20
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Evans
  33. P3 05:32
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  34. P3 03:17
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  35. P3 03:14
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  36. P3 02:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ilya Sorokin
  37. P3 02:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zachary Bolduc saved by Ilya Sorokin
  38. P3 02:32
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  39. P3 02:18
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  40. P3 02:17
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  41. P3 02:05
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  42. P3 01:42
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  43. P3 01:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
  44. P3 01:09
    Tony DeAngelo credited with hit on Ivan Demidov in defensive zone
  45. P3 00:45
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  46. P3 00:00
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  47. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  48. P2 19:53
    Shorthanded - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  49. P2 19:08
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  50. P2 18:52
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ilya Sorokin
  51. P2 18:23
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  52. P2 18:23
    Penalty to Tony DeAngelo 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Juraj Slafkovský)
  53. P2 17:56
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  54. P2 17:49
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  55. P2 17:47
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Alex Newhook
    2-2
  56. P2 17:09
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  57. P2 17:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Carrier saved by Ilya Sorokin
  58. P2 16:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ilya Sorokin
  59. P2 15:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Matthew Schaefer
  60. P2 14:55
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Carson Soucy
  61. P2 14:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  62. P2 14:00
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  63. P2 14:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  64. P2 13:49
    SHOT
    Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
  65. P2 13:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ilya Sorokin
  66. P2 13:12
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  67. P2 13:09
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Emil Heineman
    3-1
  68. P2 12:13
    SHOT
    Bo Horvat shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  69. P2 11:11
    Oliver Kapanen won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
  70. P2 11:11
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  71. P2 09:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Jacob Fowler
  72. P2 09:16
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Emil Heineman in defensive zone
  73. P2 09:14
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  74. P2 08:17
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Anthony Duclair
  75. P2 07:48
    Takeaway by Ivan Demidov in offensive zone
  76. P2 05:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
  77. P2 05:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  78. P2 04:02
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Anders Lee in defensive zone
  79. P2 03:57
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  80. P2 03:31
    Stoppage - Icing
  81. P2 03:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Jacob Fowler
  82. P2 03:06
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  83. P2 02:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Jacob Fowler
  84. P2 01:53
    Giveaway by Jake Evans in neutral zone
  85. P2 01:37
    SHOT
    Ondrej Palat shot blocked by teammate
  86. P2 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  87. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  88. P1 19:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ilya Sorokin
  89. P1 19:21
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
  90. P1 18:30
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  91. P1 17:54
    SHOT
    Ryan Pulock shot blocked by Kaiden Guhle
  92. P1 17:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  93. P1 17:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
  94. P1 17:29
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  95. P1 17:25
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alex Newhook
  96. P1 17:16
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  97. P1 17:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ilya Sorokin
  98. P1 16:54
    Stoppage - Offside
  99. P1 15:53
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
  100. P1 15:13
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  101. P1 15:13
    Penalty to Tony DeAngelo 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Cole Caufield)
  102. P1 14:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  103. P1 14:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Jacob Fowler
  104. P1 13:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Jacob Fowler
  105. P1 13:19
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Oliver Kapanen in neutral zone
  106. P1 13:12
    Giveaway by Lane Hutson in offensive zone
  107. P1 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Phillip Danault saved by Ilya Sorokin
  108. P1 11:27
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  109. P1 11:27
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  110. P1 11:23
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  111. P1 11:23
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  112. P1 11:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  113. P1 11:08
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  114. P1 10:26
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  115. P1 09:48
    SHOT
    Adam Pelech shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher
  116. P1 09:10
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  117. P1 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexandre Texier saved by Ilya Sorokin
  118. P1 08:36
    SHOT
    Anders Lee shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  119. P1 08:21
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  120. P1 08:02
    Takeaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
  121. P1 07:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  122. P1 06:46
    Islanders won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  123. P1 06:05
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  124. P1 05:05
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  125. P1 05:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  126. P1 05:02
    SHOT
    Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  127. P1 04:10
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  128. P1 04:08
    SHOT
    Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by teammate
  129. P1 03:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  130. P1 03:31
    Penalty to Casey Cizikas 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Brendan Gallagher)
  131. P1 03:27
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brendan Gallagher saved by Ilya Sorokin
  132. P1 03:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Noah Dobson
  133. P1 02:39
    Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  134. P1 02:34
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  135. P1 02:25
    Jake Evans credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  136. P1 02:01
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  137. P1 01:58
    SHOT
    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
  138. P1 01:43
    Emil Heineman credited with hit on Alexandre Carrier in offensive zone
  139. P1 01:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ilya Sorokin
  140. P1 01:08
    Anthony Duclair credited with hit on Kaiden Guhle in offensive zone
  141. P1 00:36
    SHOT
    Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  142. P1 00:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  143. P1 00:02
    Matthew Schaefer credited with hit on Noah Dobson in neutral zone
  144. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Canadiens
22Shots on Goal36
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
30Penalty Infraction Mins28
34Hits25
11 Shots Blocked 18
11Giveaways13
IslandersNYI
CanadiensMTL
22Shots on Goal36
50% Faceoff Win % 50%
3/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/3
30Penalty Infraction Mins28
34Hits25
11 Shots Blocked 18
11Giveaways13

Islanders vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Islanders vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 5.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Islanders +112, Canadiens 52¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Islanders: 46%
  • Canadiens: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 46%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Islanders in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Islanders vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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