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Islanders vs. Ducks prediction: Why Islanders are favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [3/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Islanders vs Anaheim Ducks predictions for NHL Wednesday.
NHL action continues on Wednesday at 10:00 PM ET as the NY Islanders take on the Anaheim Ducks at Honda Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Islanders a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Ducks.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Islanders vs. Ducks matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Ducks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL game between the Islanders and Ducks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Islanders a 52% chance of beating the Ducks.
According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.
Islanders vs. Ducks odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+220) | +1.5 (-245) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +102 |
| Total | o6.5 (-120) | u6.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Ducks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Ducks +1.5 | -245 |
| Moneyline | Ducks | +102 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Islanders vs. Ducks player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Ducks?
According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Ducks.
Our projections give Horvat a 38.2% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 7.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 38.2% |
| Mathew Barzal | 28.9% |
| Anders Lee | 25.8% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 25.7% |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 23.0% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Kreider | 32.4% |
| Leo Carlsson | 30.2% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 29.9% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 27.3% |
| Ryan Poehling | 22.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 7.6% |
| Mathew Barzal | 5.6% |
| Anders Lee | 4.9% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.5% |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 3.9% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Kreider | 6.2% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 5.5% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.4% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 5.0% |
| Mason McTavish | 4.4% |
Isles vs. Ducks game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Ducks and Islanders at Honda Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Honda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Islanders, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Ducks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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