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Islanders vs. Ducks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Islanders vs. Ducks NHL game on March 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
5
Mar 5, 3AM Honda Center
Mar 5, 3AM Honda Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Islanders | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Ducks | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Islanders | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Ducks | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
P3 18:52 Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
P3 17:43 Shot missed by Ross Johnston
P3 17:39 Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
P3 16:05 Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
P3 15:49 Goal scored by Frank Vatrano assisted by Jacob Trouba
P3 15:21 Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
P3 14:43 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
P3 14:16 Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
P3 14:09 Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jeffrey Viel
P3 13:57 Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
P3 12:49 Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Ville Husso
P3 12:06 Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
P3 12:00 Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
P3 11:28 Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
P3 10:50 Tim Washe shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
P3 10:15 Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by David Rittich
P3 10:00 Mason McTavish shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
P3 08:00 Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
P3 07:20 Shot on goal by Radko Gudas saved by David Rittich
P3 06:58 Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Ross Johnston
SHOT
Shot missed by Olen Zellweger
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Stoppage - Icing
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
GOAL
Goal scored by Frank Vatrano assisted by Jacob Trouba
1-5
SHOT
Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jeffrey Viel
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
Stoppage - Icing
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calum Ritchie saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jacob Trouba
SHOT
Shot missed by Cutter Gauthier
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mathew Barzal
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
SHOT
Tim Washe shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by David Rittich
SHOT
Mason McTavish shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
Islanders won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
Power play - Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radko Gudas saved by David Rittich
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Strome in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Kyle MacLean in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pavel Mintyukov
SHOT
Ian Moore shot blocked by teammate
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Radko Gudas saved by David Rittich
Mason McTavish won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Ryan Poehling
1-4
Stoppage - Icing
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Calum Ritchie in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Kyle MacLean won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Tim Washe won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Shorthanded - Tim Washe won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by David Rittich
Chris Kreider credited with hit on Carson Soucy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kyle MacLean saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Boqvist saved by Ville Husso
Shorthanded - Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Jonathan Drouin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Ville Husso
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
SHOT
Shot missed by Ian Moore
Ross Johnston credited with hit on Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mason McTavish in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
SHOT
Alex Killorn shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
SHOT
Shot missed by Mason McTavish
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cutter Gauthier saved by David Rittich
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by Radko Gudas
Ryan Strome won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
SHOT
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov
Bo Horvat credited with hit on Olen Zellweger in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Leo Carlsson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Ville Husso
Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
Power play - Giveaway by Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mathew Barzal saved by Ville Husso
Giveaway by Chris Kreider in neutral zone
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Frank Vatrano saved by David Rittich
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Leo Carlsson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Beckett Sennecke
1-3
SHOT
Pavel Mintyukov shot blocked by Carson Soucy
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Mason McTavish in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
Ross Johnston credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
Tim Washe won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Cutter Gauthier assisted by Leo Carlsson and Chris Kreider
1-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot missed by Frank Vatrano
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Moore saved by David Rittich
SHOT
Ryan Poehling shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
Stoppage - Player Equipment
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jonathan Drouin saved by Ville Husso
Jackson LaCombe credited with hit on Adam Boqvist in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Trouba saved by David Rittich
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Beckett Sennecke
Power play - Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Penalty to Tony DeAngelo 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Poehling
SHOT
Tony DeAngelo shot blocked by Ryan Strome
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Ville Husso
Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Ville Husso
Jeffrey Viel credited with hit on Matthew Schaefer in offensive zone
Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Tim Washe in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Washe
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Olen Zellweger shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Mason McTavish shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
Marc Gatcomb credited with hit on Radko Gudas in neutral zone
Giveaway by Adam Pelech in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Ville Husso
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Ville Husso
Islanders won faceoff against Ducks in neutral zone
SHOT
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jackson LaCombe
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beckett Sennecke saved by David Rittich
Leo Carlsson won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tony DeAngelo saved by Ville Husso
Power play - Jonathan Drouin won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Calum Ritchie
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tim Washe in offensive zone
Penalty to Mason McTavish 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Ondrej Palat)
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Adam Boqvist in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat credited with hit on Cutter Gauthier in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Ville Husso
Power play - Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
Penalty to Matthew Schaefer 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Mason McTavish)
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Mason McTavish in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Takeaway by Mathew Barzal in offensive zone
Bo Horvat credited with hit on Jackson LaCombe in offensive zone
Cutter Gauthier won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leo Carlsson saved by David Rittich
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 43 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 16 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 16 |
| |
|---|
| 43 | Shots on Goal | 26 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 4/1 | |||
| 8 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 28 | |||
| 16 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 16 |
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Islanders vs. Ducks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Islanders vs. Ducks
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Honda Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Islanders -115, Ducks +105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Islanders: 52%
- Ducks: 48%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 52%, while the Ducks have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Ducks in the NHL game at Honda Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Islanders vs. Ducks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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