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North Texas vs. San Diego State prediction: North Texas favored to win New Mexico Bowl [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get North Texas vs San Diego State predictions for college football Saturday.
San Diego State will square off with the favored North Texas in the 2025 New Mexico Bowl at University Stadium on Saturday, starting at 5:45 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college football model predicts North Texas as the most likely winner of the North Texas vs. San Diego State game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
New Mexico Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of the 2025 New Mexico Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives North Texas a 68% chance of defeating San Diego State. Our predicted final score has North Texas winning 31-23.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and North Texas and San Diego State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 54.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
New Mexico Bowl odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | North Texas | San Diego State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-105) | +7.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -275 | +245 |
| Total | o54.5 (-114) | u54.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
North Texas vs. San Diego State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Texas -7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | San Diego State | +245 |
| Total | Under 54.5 | -105 |
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is San Diego State to win.
North Texas vs. San Diego State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's college football action between San Diego State and North Texas at University Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:45 PM ET.
- Who: North Texas vs. San Diego State
- Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Time: 5:45 PM ET/2:45PM PT
- Venue: University Stadium
Conclusion
We predict North Texas, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat San Diego State on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Texas vs. San Diego State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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