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Read Article Sydney Roosters vs. North QLD Cowboys prediction: Why Roosters are favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 11 matchup [5/16/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sydney Roosters vs North QLD Cowboys predictions for NRL Saturday.
The Sydney Roosters and North QLD Cowboys will meet in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:30 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Roosters as the most likely winner of the Cowboys vs. Roosters game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Roosters vs. Cowboys prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NRL game between the Cowboys and Roosters, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Roosters an 85% chance of defeating the Cowboys.
According to our model, the Roosters (-15.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.
Cowboys vs. Roosters odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cowboys | Roosters |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +335 | -476 |
| Line (Spread) | +15.5 (-115) | -15.5 (-110) |
| Total | o56.5 (-114) | u56.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cowboys vs. Roosters picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Roosters -15.5 | bet_rivers_in-110 |
| Moneyline | Roosters | bet_rivers_in-476 |
| Total | Under 56.5 | -114 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 56.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Roosters vs. Cowboys game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Roosters and Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: North QLD Cowboys vs. Sydney Roosters
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Roosters, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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