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Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Mariano Navone prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Basilashvili vs Navone predictions for ATP Miami Open.
Nikoloz Basilashvili will face Mariano Navone in the round of 128 at the ATP Miami event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Nikoloz Basilashvili as the most likely winner of the Basilashvili vs. Navone match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Basilashvili vs. Navone prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Basilashvili-Navone men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Basilashvili a 52% chance of defeating Navone at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Basilashvili has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Basilashvili (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Mariano Navone odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Basilashvili | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -109 | -110 |
| First Set | -111 | -111 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-170) | -2.5 (+110) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-110) | u23.5 (-130) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Basilashvili vs. Navone picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Basilashvili | -109 |
| First Set | Navone | -130 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nikoloz Basilashvili to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Basilashvili vs. Navone updates and essential details
The ATP Miami Open match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Mariano Navone is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Mariano Navone
- Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Nikoloz Basilashvili, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Mariano Navone at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Basilashvili vs. Navone insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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