Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Luca Nardi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Open Sud de France 2026

Nikoloz Basilashvili will face Luca Nardi in the round of 32 at the ATP Montpellier event on Wednesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Luca Nardi as the most likely winner of the Basilashvili vs. Nardi match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Basilashvili vs. Nardi prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Basilashvili-Nardi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Nardi a 54% chance of winning against Basilashvili at the ATP Open Sud de France tournament.

Additionally, Nardi has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Basilashvili (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Luca Nardi odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Basilashvili vs. Nardi picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Nikoloz Basilashvili to win.

Basilashvili vs. Nardi updates and essential details

The ATP Open Sud de France match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Luca Nardi is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 6:00 AM ET.

• Who: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Luca Nardi
• Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Montpellier, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Luca Nardi, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Nikoloz Basilashvili at the ATP Open Sud de France tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Basilashvili vs. Nardi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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