NHL Playoffs player props today: Wednesday's best props include Leo Carlsson [5/12/2026]

Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal (-210)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 72.9%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Anaheim's Leo Carlsson going under 3.5 shots on goal. A probability of 72.9% gives this play an edge of 5.2% at -210 odds.

Owen Power over 0.5 shots on goal (-220)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 72.0%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Owen Power’s shots on goal prop shows a 72.0% probability and an 3.2% edge at -220 odds, according to our model.

Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal (-155)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 68.7%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 68.7% probability and a 7.9% edge at -155.

Tomas Hertl over 1.5 shots on goal (-154)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

Our model finds value on Tomas Hertl over 1.5 shots on goal, with a 68.5% probability and an edge of 7.9% at -154 odds.

Noah Dobson over 1.5 shots on goal (-154)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Noah Dobson over 1.5 shots on goal for Montreal, showing an edge of 6.4% at -154 odds.

Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal (-160)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Ivan Demidov’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 3.1% at -160 odds, supported by a 64.6% probability according to our model.

Cole Caufield over 2.5 shots on goal (-154)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Cole Caufield over 2.5 shots on goal for Montreal, with a 63.9% probability and a 3.3% edge at -154 odds.

Tomas Hertl to score a point (+114)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

The data shows value on Tomas Hertl to score a point, supported by a 54.6% probability at +114 odds and an edge of 7.9%.

Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal (+105)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

A 5.6% edge on the over 0.5 shots on goal line makes Chris Kreider a value play in Ducks vs. Golden Knights, supported by a 54.3% probability at +105 odds.

Zach Benson over 0.5 a point (+105)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Zach Benson over 0.5 a point here, with a 50.1% probability and 1.3% edge at +105 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal	-210 @ DraftKings	5.2%	72.9%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Owen Power over 0.5 shots on goal	-220 @ DraftKings	3.2%	72.0%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal	-155 @ BetMGM	7.9%	68.5%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Tomas Hertl over 1.5 shots on goal	-154 @ DraftKings	7.9%	68.5%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Noah Dobson over 1.5 shots on goal	-154 @ DraftKings	6.4%	67.1%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal	-160 @ DraftKings	3.1%	64.6%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Cole Caufield over 2.5 shots on goal	-154 @ DraftKings	3.3%	63.9%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Tomas Hertl to score a point	+114 @ DraftKings	7.9%	54.6%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal	+105 @ BetMGM	5.6%	54.3%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Zach Benson over 0.5 a point	+105 @ DraftKings	1.3%	50.1%

Conclusion

For May 12, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Leo Carlsson, Owen Power and Cutter Gauthier. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.