Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Canadiens NHL game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Sabres
3
2
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123T
Sabres
1 1 1 3
Canadiens
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sabres
    100%
  • Canadiens
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
1 1 1 3
Canadiens
2 0 0 2
P3 19:08 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 18:40 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 18:20 Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 17:57 Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:55 Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:35 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:13 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 12:28 Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:02 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 11:36 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Konsta Helenius
P3 11:23 Phillip Danault shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 10:27 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 10:23 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 08:58 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:54 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:12 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 07:26 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 07:11 Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:40 Power play - Shot missed by Zach Benson
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:08
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
  3. P3 18:43
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  4. P3 18:40
    SHOT
    Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  5. P3 18:20
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  6. P3 17:57
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
  7. P3 17:16
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  8. P3 17:16
    Stoppage
  9. P3 17:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
  10. P3 16:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  11. P3 15:45
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  12. P3 15:45
    Stoppage - Player Injury
  13. P3 15:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  14. P3 14:37
    Giveaway by Kirby Dach in defensive zone
  15. P3 13:13
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
  16. P3 13:07
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  17. P3 12:28
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  18. P3 12:14
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  19. P3 12:02
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  20. P3 11:36
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Konsta Helenius
  21. P3 11:23
    SHOT
    Phillip Danault shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  22. P3 10:47
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
  23. P3 10:29
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  24. P3 10:27
    SHOT
    Noah Dobson shot blocked by Zach Benson
  25. P3 10:25
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
  26. P3 10:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
  27. P3 08:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  28. P3 08:56
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
  29. P3 08:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  30. P3 08:21
    Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
  31. P3 08:12
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  32. P3 08:08
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  33. P3 07:48
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  34. P3 07:48
    Stoppage - Offside
  35. P3 07:26
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  36. P3 07:20
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  37. P3 07:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  38. P3 06:03
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  39. P3 06:03
    Stoppage - Icing
  40. P3 04:41
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  41. P3 04:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Zach Benson
  42. P3 04:03
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  43. P3 04:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  44. P3 03:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  45. P3 03:47
    Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  46. P3 03:47
    Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Peyton Krebs)
  47. P3 03:26
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  48. P3 03:24
    Stoppage - Icing
  49. P3 03:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  50. P3 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  51. P3 01:32
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  52. P3 01:21
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Beck Malenstyn in neutral zone
  53. P3 01:21
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  54. P3 01:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  55. P3 00:41
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  56. P3 00:41
    Stoppage - Offside
  57. P3 00:00
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in neutral zone
  58. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  59. P2 19:59
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Luke Schenn
  60. P2 19:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Owen Power
  61. P2 18:31
    Rasmus Dahlin won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
  62. P2 18:04
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
  63. P2 17:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  64. P2 17:47
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  65. P2 17:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  66. P2 16:21
    SHOT
    Jake Evans shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  67. P2 15:38
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
  68. P2 15:32
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  69. P2 15:32
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  70. P2 15:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  71. P2 14:18
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
  72. P2 14:18
    Stoppage - Icing
  73. P2 13:47
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  74. P2 13:16
    Shorthanded - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  75. P2 13:16
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  76. P2 13:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Alexandre Texier shot blocked by teammate
  77. P2 12:24
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  78. P2 12:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  79. P2 11:26
    SHOT
    Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
  80. P2 11:21
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  81. P2 10:59
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  82. P2 10:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  83. P2 10:53
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  84. P2 10:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  85. P2 10:07
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  86. P2 09:16
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
  87. P2 09:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
  88. P2 07:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  89. P2 07:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Bowen Byram shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  90. P2 07:00
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  91. P2 06:35
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  92. P2 06:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  93. P2 06:17
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  94. P2 05:56
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
  95. P2 05:46
    SHOT
    Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
  96. P2 05:23
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  97. P2 04:55
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
  98. P2 04:55
    Stoppage - Offside
  99. P2 03:44
    Power play - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  100. P2 03:42
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  101. P2 03:09
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  102. P2 02:23
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
  103. P2 02:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sabres
  104. P2 00:41
    Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
  105. P2 00:04
    Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in neutral zone
  106. P2 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  107. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  108. P1 19:47
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  109. P1 19:44
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  110. P1 19:25
    SHOT
    Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  111. P1 19:19
    Sabres won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  112. P1 19:19
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  113. P1 18:33
    Takeaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
  114. P1 18:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  115. P1 17:25
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  116. P1 17:12
    SHOT
    Alex Newhook shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
  117. P1 17:01
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  118. P1 16:59
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  119. P1 16:18
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  120. P1 15:49
    Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  121. P1 15:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
  122. P1 14:57
    Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  123. P1 14:57
    Penalty to Jason Zucker 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Joseph Veleno)
  124. P1 13:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
  125. P1 12:38
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  126. P1 12:38
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  127. P1 12:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
  128. P1 12:06
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  129. P1 11:28
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  130. P1 11:28
    Penalty to Alexandre Carrier 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jason Zucker)
  131. P1 11:18
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  132. P1 11:18
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  133. P1 11:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  134. P1 10:42
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  135. P1 10:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
  136. P1 10:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  137. P1 10:08
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  138. P1 10:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  139. P1 09:50
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  140. P1 09:50
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  141. P1 09:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  142. P1 08:47
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  143. P1 08:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  144. P1 08:25
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
  145. P1 08:04
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  146. P1 08:02
    Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  147. P1 08:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
  148. P1 07:18
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Conor Timmins
  149. P1 06:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  150. P1 06:32
    Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  151. P1 06:30
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Josh Norris
    0-0
  152. P1 06:13
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
  153. P1 05:51
    Giveaway by Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
  154. P1 05:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
  155. P1 05:14
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  156. P1 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  157. P1 04:16
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Jakub Dobes
  158. P1 02:48
    SHOT
    Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  159. P1 02:35
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  160. P1 02:35
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  161. P1 00:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  162. P1 00:23
    SHOT
    Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
  163. P1 00:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  164. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Canadiens
22Shots on Goal30
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins10
23Hits26
27 Shots Blocked 6
14Giveaways15
SabresBUF
CanadiensMTL
22Shots on Goal30
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins10
23Hits26
27 Shots Blocked 6
14Giveaways15

Sabres vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres 43¢, Canadiens 57¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 45%
  • Canadiens: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 45%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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