Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Canadiens NHL game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Sabres
3
2
May 12, 11 PM Bell Centre
Canadiens
May 12, 11 PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
TEAM123T
Sabres
1 1 1 3
Canadiens
2 0 0 2
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
SabresBUF
Win %
100%
0%
CanadiensMTL
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
1 1 1 3
Canadiens
2 0 0 2
P3 19:08 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 18:40 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 18:20 Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 17:57 Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:55 Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:35 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:13 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 12:28 Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:02 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 11:36 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Konsta Helenius
P3 11:23 Phillip Danault shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 10:27 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 10:23 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 08:58 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:54 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:12 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 07:26 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 07:11 Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:40 Power play - Shot missed by Zach Benson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:08
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 18:43
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
P3 18:40
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 18:20
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 17:57
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:16
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P3 17:16
Stoppage
P3 17:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:45
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 15:45
Stoppage - Player Injury
P3 15:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 14:37
Giveaway by Kirby Dach in defensive zone
P3 13:13
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 13:07
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P3 12:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:14
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
P3 12:02
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 11:36
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Konsta Helenius
P3 11:23
SHOT
Phillip Danault shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 10:47
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
P3 10:29
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 10:27
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 10:25
Josh Norris won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
P3 10:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 08:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:56
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
P3 08:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:21
Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
P3 08:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:48
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P3 07:48
Stoppage - Offside
P3 07:26
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 07:20
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P3 07:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 06:03
Josh Norris won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P3 06:03
Stoppage - Icing
P3 04:41
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
P3 04:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zach Benson
P3 04:03
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:01
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 03:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:47
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
P3 03:47
Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Peyton Krebs)
P3 03:26
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Bowen Byram
P3 03:24
Stoppage - Icing
P3 03:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 02:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 01:32
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P3 01:21
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Beck Malenstyn in neutral zone
P3 01:21
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 01:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
P3 00:41
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P3 00:41
Stoppage - Offside
P3 00:00
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:59
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Luke Schenn
P2 19:04
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Owen Power
P2 18:31
Rasmus Dahlin won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
P2 18:04
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
P2 17:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 17:47
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
P2 17:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 16:21
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P2 15:38
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
P2 15:32
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 15:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 15:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 14:18
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
P2 14:18
Stoppage - Icing
P2 13:47
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
P2 13:16
Shorthanded - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
P2 13:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 13:12
SHOT
Power play - Alexandre Texier shot blocked by teammate
P2 12:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 12:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
P2 11:26
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
P2 11:21
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 10:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 10:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 10:53
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 10:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P2 10:07
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
P2 09:16
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
P2 09:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 07:44
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P2 07:23
SHOT
Power play - Bowen Byram shot blocked by Mike Matheson
P2 07:00
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
P2 06:35
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 06:35
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P2 06:17
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P2 05:56
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
P2 05:46
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
P2 05:23
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P2 04:55
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
P2 04:55
Stoppage - Offside
P2 03:44
Power play - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P2 03:42
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 03:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P2 02:23
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
P2 02:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Sabres
P2 00:41
Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
P2 00:04
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:47
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
P1 19:44
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P1 19:25
SHOT
Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 19:19
Sabres won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 19:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 18:33
Takeaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
P1 18:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 17:25
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
P1 17:12
SHOT
Alex Newhook shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P1 17:01
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
P1 16:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 16:18
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P1 15:49
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 15:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
P1 14:57
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
P1 14:57
Penalty to Jason Zucker 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Joseph Veleno)
P1 13:06
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
P1 12:38
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
P1 12:38
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 12:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 12:06
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
P1 11:28
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
P1 11:28
Penalty to Alexandre Carrier 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jason Zucker)
P1 11:18
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
P1 11:18
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 11:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 10:42
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P1 10:42
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 10:40
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P1 10:08
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P1 10:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 09:50
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
P1 09:50
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 09:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 08:47
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
P1 08:46
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P1 08:25
Josh Norris won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
P1 08:04
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 08:02
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
P1 08:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 07:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
P1 06:46
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 06:32
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
P1 06:30
GOAL
Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Josh Norris
0-0
P1 06:13
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
P1 05:51
Giveaway by Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
P1 05:17
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 05:14
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
P1 04:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 04:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Jakub Dobes
P1 02:48
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P1 02:35
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
P1 02:35
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 00:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 00:23
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P1 00:20
Stoppage - Icing
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Canadiens
22Shots on Goal30
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins10
23Hits26
27Shots Blocked6
14Giveaways15
SabresBUF
CanadiensMTL
22Shots on Goal30
53% Faceoff Win % 48%
4/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 7/1
16Penalty Infraction Mins10
23Hits26
27Shots Blocked6
14Giveaways15

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Sabres vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres +135, Canadiens -133

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 45%
  • Canadiens: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 45%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.