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Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Canadiens NHL game on May 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
3
2
May 12, 11 PM Bell Centre
May 12, 11 PM Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Canadiens | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Canadiens | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
P3 19:08 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
P3 18:40 Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 18:20 Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
P3 17:57 Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 16:55 Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 15:35 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:13 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
P3 12:28 Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:02 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 11:36 Mike Matheson shot blocked by Konsta Helenius
P3 11:23 Phillip Danault shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P3 10:27 Noah Dobson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 10:23 Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
P3 08:58 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:54 Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 08:12 Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 07:26 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
P3 07:11 Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:40 Power play - Shot missed by Zach Benson
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Josh Doan
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
SHOT
Cole Caufield shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by teammate
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Player Injury
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Giveaway by Kirby Dach in defensive zone
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Ryan McLeod
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kaiden Guhle saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by Konsta Helenius
SHOT
Phillip Danault shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Mattias Samuelsson in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Noah Dobson shot blocked by Zach Benson
Josh Norris won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexandre Carrier
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Giveaway by Jack Quinn in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Norris won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Zach Benson
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Peyton Krebs)
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Bowen Byram
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Anderson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Beck Malenstyn in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Luke Schenn
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by Owen Power
Rasmus Dahlin won faceoff against Canadiens in defensive zone
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mike Matheson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Jake Evans shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Alexandre Texier shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Cole Caufield shot blocked by teammate
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Bowen Byram shot blocked by Mike Matheson
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
SHOT
Mike Matheson shot blocked by teammate
Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Jake Evans in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sabres
Giveaway by Josh Doan in offensive zone
Juraj Slafkovský credited with hit on Rasmus Dahlin in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Power play - Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Sabres won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Takeaway by Cole Caufield in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Alex Newhook shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
Power play - Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nick Suzuki
Shorthanded - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Jason Zucker 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Joseph Veleno)
SHOT
Shot missed by Peyton Krebs
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bowen Byram saved by Jakub Dobes
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Penalty to Alexandre Carrier 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Jason Zucker)
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Josh Norris won faceoff against Juraj Slafkovský in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Joseph Veleno won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Konsta Helenius saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mattias Samuelsson assisted by Josh Norris
0-0
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Zachary Bolduc
Giveaway by Jordan Greenway in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Mattias Samuelsson shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cole Caufield saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Juraj Slafkovský shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson
Stoppage - Icing
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 7/1 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 27 | Shots Blocked | 6 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 22 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 53% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 4/2 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 7/1 | |||
| 16 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 10 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 26 | |||
| 27 | Shots Blocked | 6 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Sabres vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Sabres vs. Canadiens
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Sabres +135, Canadiens -133
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Sabres: 45%
- Canadiens: 55%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 45%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
