NHL Playoffs player props today: Thursday's best props include Leo Carlsson [4/30/2026]

Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal (-135)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 68.0%
• Game: Oilers vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Anaheim's Leo Carlsson going under 3.5 shots on goal. A probability of 68.0% gives this play an edge of 10.5% at -135 odds.

Joel Eriksson Ek under 3.5 shots on goal (-145)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 63.0%
• Game: Stars vs. Wild (7:30PM ET)

Joel Eriksson Ek’s shots on goal prop shows a 63.0% probability and an 3.8% edge at -145 odds, according to our model.

Darnell Nurse over 1.5 shots on goal (-145)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 62.3%
• Game: Oilers vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Darnell Nurse over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 62.3% probability and a 3.1% edge at -145.

Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal (-115)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Game: Oilers vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal, with a 57.7% probability and an edge of 4.2% at -115 odds.

Matt Boldy under 3.5 shots on goal (+115)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Game: Stars vs. Wild (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Matt Boldy under 3.5 shots on goal for Minnesota, showing an edge of 4.8% at +115 odds.

Jason Robertson under 3.5 shots on goal (+125)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Game: Stars vs. Wild (7:30PM ET)

Jason Robertson’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 6.7% at +125 odds, supported by a 51.1% probability according to our model.

Wyatt Johnston under 2.5 shots on goal (+120)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 48.8%
• Game: Stars vs. Wild (7:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Wyatt Johnston under 2.5 shots on goal for Dallas, with a 48.8% probability and a 3.3% edge at +120 odds.

Leon Draisaitl anytime goal scorer (+130)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Game: Oilers vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Leon Draisaitl anytime goal scorer, supported by a 46.8% probability at +130 odds and an edge of 3.3%.

Mavrik Bourque to score a point (+175)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 40.1%
• Game: Stars vs. Wild (7:30PM ET)

A 3.8% edge on the point line makes Mavrik Bourque a value play in Stars vs. Wild, supported by a 40.1% probability at +175 odds.

Ryan Poehling to score a point (+190)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 39.4%
• Game: Oilers vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ryan Poehling to score a point here, with a 39.4% probability and 5.0% edge at +190 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Thursday, April 30, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:04AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Oilers vs. Ducks	Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal	-135 @ DraftKings	10.5%	68.0%
Stars vs. Wild	Joel Eriksson Ek under 3.5 shots on goal	-145 @ DraftKings	3.8%	63.0%
Oilers vs. Ducks	Darnell Nurse over 1.5 shots on goal	-145 @ DraftKings	4.2%	57.7%
Oilers vs. Ducks	Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal	-115 @ BetMGM	4.2%	57.7%
Stars vs. Wild	Matt Boldy under 3.5 shots on goal	+115 @ BetMGM	4.8%	51.3%
Stars vs. Wild	Jason Robertson under 3.5 shots on goal	+125 @ BetMGM	6.7%	51.1%
Stars vs. Wild	Wyatt Johnston under 2.5 shots on goal	+120 @ DraftKings	3.3%	48.8%
Oilers vs. Ducks	Leon Draisaitl anytime goal scorer	+130 @ DraftKings	3.3%	46.8%
Stars vs. Wild	Mavrik Bourque to score a point	+175 @ DraftKings	3.8%	40.1%
Oilers vs. Ducks	Ryan Poehling to score a point	+190 @ DraftKings	5.0%	39.4%

Conclusion

For April 30, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Leo Carlsson, Joel Eriksson Ek and Darnell Nurse. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.