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Read Article NHL Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Ivan Demidov [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NHL player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' NHL props are live for May 16, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Ivan Demidov, Mike Matheson and Josh Norris.
Our NHL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including today's Sabres vs. Canadiens clash, to surface the best NHL player prop bets across the market.
List of NHL prop bets for Saturday's playoffs, 5/16
Below are the top ten NHL player props for May 16, ranked by probability.
Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal (-188)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 68.9%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Montreal's Ivan Demidov going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 68.9% gives this play an edge of 3.6% at -188 odds.
Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal (+120)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 50.4%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Mike Matheson’s shots on goal prop shows a 50.4% probability and an 4.9% edge at +120 odds, according to our model.
Josh Norris to score a point (+135)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 44.1%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Josh Norris to score a point, with simulations showing a 44.1% probability and a 1.6% edge at +135.
Owen Power to score a point (+220)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 38.4%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Owen Power to score a point, with a 38.4% probability and an edge of 7.1% at +220 odds.
Tage Thompson anytime goal scorer (+190)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 38.2%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Tage Thompson as an anytime goal scorer for Buffalo, showing an edge of 3.7% at +190 odds.
Ryan McLeod to score a point (+190)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 36.1%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Ryan McLeod’s point prop shows an edge of 1.6% at +190 odds, supported by a 36.1% probability according to our model.
Phillip Danault to score a point (+220)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 36.0%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Phillip Danault to score a point for Montreal, with a 36.0% probability and a 4.8% edge at +220 odds.
Owen Power to record an assist (+270)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 34.1%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Owen Power to record an assist, supported by a 34.1% probability at +270 odds and an edge of 7.0%.
Noah Dobson to record an assist (+210)
- Edge: 1.7%
- Probability: 34.0%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
A 1.7% edge on the assist line makes Noah Dobson a value play in Sabres vs. Canadiens, supported by a 34.0% probability at +210 odds.
Alex Newhook anytime goal scorer (+290)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 31.4%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Alex Newhook anytime goal scorer here, with a 31.4% probability and 5.8% edge at +290 odds.
NHL player prop summary: Saturday, May 16, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:19AM ET:
| Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal | -188 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 68.9% |
| Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal | +120 @ DraftKings | 4.9% | 50.4% |
| Josh Norris to score a point | +135 @ DraftKings | 7.1% | 38.4% |
| Owen Power to score a point | +220 @ DraftKings | 7.1% | 38.4% |
| Tage Thompson anytime goal scorer | +190 @ FanDuel | 3.7% | 38.2% |
| Ryan McLeod to score a point | +190 @ DraftKings | 1.6% | 36.1% |
| Phillip Danault to score a point | +220 @ DraftKings | 4.8% | 36.0% |
| Owen Power to record an assist | +270 @ DraftKings | 7.0% | 34.1% |
| Noah Dobson to record an assist | +210 @ DraftKings | 1.7% | 34.0% |
| Alex Newhook anytime goal scorer | +290 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 31.4% |
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Conclusion
For May 16, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Ivan Demidov, Mike Matheson and Josh Norris. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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