NHL Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Owen Power [5/16/2026]
Get NHL player props today with projections for Saturday's games.

Dimers' NHL props are live for May 16, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Owen Power, Ivan Demidov and Mike Matheson.
Our NHL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including today's Sabres vs. Canadiens clash, to surface the best NHL player prop bets across the market.
List of NHL prop picks for Saturday's playoffs, 5/16
Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NHL player props for May 16, ranked by probability.
Owen Power over 0.5 shots on goal (-230)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 73.7%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Buffalo's Owen Power going over 0.5 shots on goal. A probability of 73.7% gives this play an edge of 4.0% at -230 odds.
Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal (-135)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 65.8%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Ivan Demidov’s shots on goal prop shows a 65.8% probability and an 8.3% edge at -135 odds, according to our model.
Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal (+115)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 51.3% probability and a 4.8% edge at +115.
Josh Norris to score a point (+140)
- Edge: 1.4%
- Probability: 43.0%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Josh Norris to score a point, with a 43.0% probability and an edge of 1.4% at +140 odds.
Alexandre Texier to score a point (+195)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 39.1%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Alexandre Texier to score a point for Montreal, showing an edge of 5.2% at +195 odds.
Tage Thompson anytime goal scorer (+180)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 38.9%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Tage Thompson’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 3.2% at +180 odds, supported by a 38.9% probability according to our model.
Owen Power to score a point (+220)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 38.3%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Owen Power to score a point for Buffalo, with a 38.3% probability and a 7.1% edge at +220 odds.
Ryan McLeod to score a point (+190)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 36.7%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Ryan McLeod to score a point, supported by a 36.7% probability at +190 odds and an edge of 2.2%.
Phillip Danault to score a point (+220)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 34.8%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
A 3.6% edge on the point line makes Phillip Danault a value play in Sabres vs. Canadiens, supported by a 34.8% probability at +220 odds.
Owen Power to score a point (+270)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 33.8%
- Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Owen Power to score a point here, with a 33.8% probability and 6.8% edge at +270 odds.
NHL player prop summary: Saturday, May 16, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:59PM ET:
| Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Power over 0.5 shots on goal | -230 @ DraftKings | 4.0% | 73.7% |
| Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal | -135 @ DraftKings | 8.3% | 65.8% |
| Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal | +115 @ BetMGM | 1.4% | 43.0% |
| Josh Norris to score a point | +140 @ DraftKings | 1.4% | 43.0% |
| Alexandre Texier to score a point | +195 @ DraftKings | 5.2% | 39.1% |
| Tage Thompson anytime goal scorer | +180 @ DraftKings | 3.2% | 38.9% |
| Owen Power to score a point | +220 @ DraftKings | 7.1% | 38.3% |
| Ryan McLeod to score a point | +190 @ DraftKings | 2.2% | 36.7% |
| Phillip Danault to score a point | +220 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 34.8% |
| Owen Power to score a point | +270 @ DraftKings | 6.8% | 33.8% |
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Conclusion
For May 16, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Owen Power, Ivan Demidov and Mike Matheson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.



