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Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Canadiens NHL game on May 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
8
3
May 16, 8:00 PM ET Bell Centre
May 16, 8:00 PM ET Bell Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
Canadiens | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
Canadiens | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 17:47 Power play - Goal scored by Zach Metsa assisted by Ryan McLeod and Rasmus Dahlin
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 15:10 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 14:34 Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 14:12 Goal scored by Tage Thompson
P3 13:22 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:02 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:55 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:40 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 09:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:09 Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:59 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:22 Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 07:17 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 06:24 Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:50 Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P3 04:44 Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P3 03:07 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 01:08 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Zach Metsa assisted by Ryan McLeod and Rasmus Dahlin
8-3
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Misconduct
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jacob Fowler
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tage Thompson
7-3
Kirby Dach won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Canadiens replaced goalie. (Jacob Fowler)
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
SHOT
Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Shot missed by Lane Hutson
Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Zach Metsa shot blocked by Alex Newhook
Stoppage - Icing
Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
SHOT
Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Josh Norris credited with hit on Jake Evans in defensive zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
Josh Norris won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Alex Tuch in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
Stoppage
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
Power play - Josh Doan won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Kirby Dach shot blocked by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Penalty to Sabres 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Jason Zucker)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
SHOT
Shot missed by Sabres
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake Evans
SHOT
Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Zach Benson assisted by Tage Thompson and Bowen Byram
3-3
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
Stoppage - TV timeout
Penalty to Lane Hutson 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drawn by Josh Norris)
Penalty to Josh Norris 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
SHOT
Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Jakub Dobes
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
Penalty to Mike Matheson 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Josh Norris)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
SHOT
Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
GOAL
Shorthanded - Goal scored by Jake Evans assisted by Mike Matheson
1-3
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Hooking
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Conor Timmins
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Alex Newhook)
Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
Alex Tuch won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Phillip Danault
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Jake Evans won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Alex Lyon
SHOT
Lane Hutson shot blocked by Bowen Byram
Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Rasmus Dahlin assisted by Mattias Samuelsson and Zach Benson
1-0
Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 36 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 6/4 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 32 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 58 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 31 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 36 | Shots on Goal | 22 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 39% | |||
| 6/4 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 32 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 58 | |||
| 19 | Hits | 31 | |||
| 18 | Shots Blocked | 9 | |||
| 18 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Sabres vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Sabres vs. Canadiens
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bell Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Sabres +160, Canadiens -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Sabres: 42%
- Canadiens: 58%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 42%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
