Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Canadiens NHL game on May 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NHL
Sabres
8
3
Bell Centre
Canadiens
Bell Centre
TEAM123T
Sabres
2 3 3 8
Canadiens
3 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sabres
    100%
  • Canadiens
    0%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Sabres
2 3 3 8
Canadiens
3 0 0 3
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 17:47 Power play - Goal scored by Zach Metsa assisted by Ryan McLeod and Rasmus Dahlin
P3 17:14 Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jacob Fowler
P3 15:10 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 14:34 Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
P3 14:12 Goal scored by Tage Thompson
P3 13:22 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 13:02 Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:55 Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P3 12:40 Shot missed by Cole Caufield
P3 09:45 Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 09:09 Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 07:59 Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
P3 07:22 Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
P3 07:17 Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 06:24 Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
P3 04:50 Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P3 04:44 Shot missed by Lane Hutson
P3 03:07 Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 01:08 Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:04
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  3. P3 19:04
    Stoppage - Icing
  4. P3 18:37
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  5. P3 18:34
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  6. P3 17:52
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in defensive zone
  7. P3 17:49
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  8. P3 17:47
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Zach Metsa assisted by Ryan McLeod and Rasmus Dahlin
    8-3
  9. P3 17:20
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  10. P3 17:20
    Penalty to Jake Evans 2 minutes for Misconduct
  11. P3 17:16
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  12. P3 17:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jordan Greenway saved by Jacob Fowler
  13. P3 16:43
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  14. P3 15:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  15. P3 15:07
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
  16. P3 15:07
    Stoppage - Icing
  17. P3 15:00
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  18. P3 15:00
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
  19. P3 14:34
    SHOT
    Beck Malenstyn shot blocked by Arber Xhekaj
  20. P3 14:12
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  21. P3 14:12
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Tage Thompson
    7-3
  22. P3 13:42
    Kirby Dach won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
  23. P3 13:42
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  24. P3 13:22
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  25. P3 13:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  26. P3 12:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nick Suzuki saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  27. P3 12:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  28. P3 12:33
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  29. P3 12:33
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  30. P3 11:33
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Kirby Dach in neutral zone
  31. P3 11:33
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  32. P3 11:17
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  33. P3 10:30
    Canadiens replaced goalie. (Jacob Fowler)
  34. P3 09:58
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  35. P3 09:45
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Jakub Dobes
  36. P3 09:12
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in offensive zone
  37. P3 09:09
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
  38. P3 08:49
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in defensive zone
  39. P3 07:59
    SHOT
    Rasmus Dahlin shot blocked by teammate
  40. P3 07:57
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  41. P3 07:57
    Stoppage - Icing
  42. P3 07:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ryan McLeod
  43. P3 07:17
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  44. P3 06:59
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
  45. P3 06:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
  46. P3 04:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  47. P3 04:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  48. P3 04:17
    Konsta Helenius won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  49. P3 03:07
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
  50. P3 01:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Lane Hutson saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  51. P3 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  52. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  53. P2 19:58
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  54. P2 19:55
    SHOT
    Zach Metsa shot blocked by Alex Newhook
  55. P2 19:32
    Stoppage - Icing
  56. P2 19:26
    Alex Newhook won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  57. P2 19:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  58. P2 18:47
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in offensive zone
  59. P2 18:47
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  60. P2 18:14
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  61. P2 18:00
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  62. P2 17:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Lane Hutson
  63. P2 17:12
    SHOT
    Power play - Lane Hutson shot blocked by Zach Benson
  64. P2 16:46
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Jakub Dobes
  65. P2 16:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  66. P2 16:03
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  67. P2 15:55
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  68. P2 14:38
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  69. P2 14:38
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  70. P2 13:18
    Josh Norris credited with hit on Jake Evans in defensive zone
  71. P2 13:03
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  72. P2 13:03
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  73. P2 12:59
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Alex Newhook in neutral zone
  74. P2 12:43
    Zachary Bolduc credited with hit on Alex Tuch in defensive zone
  75. P2 12:18
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
  76. P2 11:58
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Joseph Veleno in offensive zone
  77. P2 11:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  78. P2 11:42
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  79. P2 11:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  80. P2 11:34
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Konsta Helenius in neutral zone
  81. P2 11:34
    Stoppage
  82. P2 10:54
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  83. P2 10:15
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  84. P2 10:10
    Power play - Josh Doan won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  85. P2 10:10
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  86. P2 09:45
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kirby Dach saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  87. P2 09:14
    SHOT
    Kirby Dach shot blocked by Jack Quinn
  88. P2 08:20
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Juraj Slafkovský
  89. P2 08:19
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  90. P2 07:37
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Cole Caufield
  91. P2 07:08
    Shorthanded - Jordan Greenway won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  92. P2 07:08
    Penalty to Sabres 2 minutes for Too Many Men on the Ice (Served by Jason Zucker)
  93. P2 06:32
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Jakub Dobes
  94. P2 05:43
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Jakub Dobes
  95. P2 05:40
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mattias Samuelsson
  96. P2 05:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Sabres
  97. P2 05:22
    SHOT
    Owen Power shot blocked by teammate
  98. P2 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  99. P2 04:19
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in defensive zone
  100. P2 04:19
    Stoppage - Icing
  101. P2 03:43
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  102. P2 03:41
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Jakub Dobes
  103. P2 03:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jake Evans
  104. P2 02:50
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kaiden Guhle
  105. P2 02:36
    Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  106. P2 02:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Newhook saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  107. P2 02:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Conor Timmins
  108. P2 01:40
    SHOT
    Alex Tuch shot blocked by Noah Dobson
  109. P2 01:00
    Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in neutral zone
  110. P2 00:59
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Zach Benson assisted by Tage Thompson and Bowen Byram
    3-3
  111. P2 00:00
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  112. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  113. P1 17:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jack Quinn
  114. P1 17:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Jakub Dobes
  115. P1 17:17
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  116. P1 17:17
    Penalty to Lane Hutson 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drawn by Josh Norris)
  117. P1 17:17
    Penalty to Josh Norris 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Lane Hutson)
  118. P1 17:17
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  119. P1 16:12
    SHOT
    Kaiden Guhle shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  120. P1 16:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Joseph Veleno
  121. P1 15:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivan Demidov
  122. P1 13:56
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in neutral zone
  123. P1 13:35
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan McLeod saved by Jakub Dobes
  124. P1 13:10
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Jakub Dobes
  125. P1 11:47
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Tage Thompson in defensive zone
  126. P1 11:47
    Penalty to Mike Matheson 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Josh Norris)
  127. P1 11:42
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Jakub Dobes
  128. P1 11:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Juraj Slafkovský saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
  129. P1 10:35
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
  130. P1 10:30
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  131. P1 10:14
    Shorthanded - Jake Evans won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  132. P1 10:14
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Jake Evans assisted by Mike Matheson
    1-3
  133. P1 09:50
    Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Jake Evans in defensive zone
  134. P1 09:01
    SHOT
    Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by teammate
  135. P1 08:52
    Power play - Tage Thompson won faceoff against Jake Evans in offensive zone
  136. P1 08:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  137. P1 08:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
  138. P1 08:30
    Penalty to Phillip Danault 2 minutes for Hooking
  139. P1 08:12
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in neutral zone
  140. P1 08:11
    SHOT
    Power play - Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Conor Timmins
  141. P1 07:45
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Jakub Dobes
  142. P1 07:43
    Penalty to Peyton Krebs 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Alex Newhook)
  143. P1 07:43
    Sabres won faceoff against Canadiens in neutral zone
  144. P1 05:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Doan saved by Jakub Dobes
  145. P1 05:31
    Alex Tuch won faceoff against Nick Suzuki in offensive zone
  146. P1 05:28
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Mike Matheson
  147. P1 05:04
    SHOT
    Tage Thompson shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
  148. P1 05:02
    Josh Norris won faceoff against Phillip Danault in offensive zone
  149. P1 05:02
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  150. P1 04:13
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Konsta Helenius
  151. P1 03:29
    SHOT
    Jack Quinn shot blocked by Phillip Danault
  152. P1 03:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Jakub Dobes
  153. P1 01:40
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
  154. P1 01:38
    Jake Evans won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
  155. P1 01:37
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivan Demidov saved by Alex Lyon
  156. P1 01:04
    SHOT
    Lane Hutson shot blocked by Bowen Byram
  157. P1 00:32
    Phillip Danault won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
  158. P1 00:32
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Rasmus Dahlin assisted by Mattias Samuelsson and Zach Benson
    1-0
  159. P1 00:14
    Giveaway by Juraj Slafkovský in neutral zone
  160. P1 00:00
    Nick Suzuki won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
  161. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Sabres
STATS
Canadiens
36Shots on Goal22
61% Faceoff Win % 39%
6/4 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
32Penalty Infraction Mins58
19Hits31
18 Shots Blocked 9
18Giveaways11
SabresBUF
CanadiensMTL
36Shots on Goal22
61% Faceoff Win % 39%
6/4 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 3/1
32Penalty Infraction Mins58
19Hits31
18 Shots Blocked 9
18Giveaways11

Sabres vs. Canadiens: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sabres vs. Canadiens
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bell Centre

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Canadiens favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Sabres 39¢, Canadiens 61¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sabres: 42%
  • Canadiens: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 42%, while the Canadiens have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Canadiens are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at Bell Centre on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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