Jets vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Jets vs. Lightning in the NHL on Thursday, October 29, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Jets
vs.
Benchmark International Arena
Lightning
Benchmark International Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Jets
    35.3%
    NovigNovig
  • Lightning
    64.7%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Jets
Probability
  • Kyle Connor
    40.3%
  • Mark Scheifele
    33.1%
  • Gabriel Vilardi
    28.3%
  • Cole Perfetti
  • Dawson Mercer
Lightning
Probability
  • Brandon Hagel
    39.6%
  • Nikita Kucherov
    38.3%
  • Jake Guentzel
    37.0%
  • Brayden Point
  • Anthony Cirelli

Jets vs. Lightning prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Winnipeg Jets vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
  • Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Jets (+1.5, -120), Lightning (-1.5, +115)
  • Moneyline: Jets +208, Lightning -217
  • Total (Over/Under): 6 goals (-109/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Jets: 35.3%
  • Lightning: 64.7%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Jets vs. Lightning player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Kyle Connor, Jets: 40.0%
  • Mark Scheifele, Jets: 34.1%
  • Nikita Kucherov, Lightning: 39.7%
  • Brandon Hagel, Lightning: 39.1%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jets a win probability of 35.3%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 64.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Jets in the NHL game at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Jets vs. Lightning, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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