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NHL player props today: Saturday's best props include Matthew Tkachuk [4/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NHL player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' NHL props are live for April 04, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Matthew Tkachuk, Logan Stankoven and Chris Kreider.
Our NHL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Flames vs. Ducks and Islanders vs. Hurricanes, to surface the best NHL player prop bets across the market.
List of NHL prop picks for Saturday, 4/4
Sourced from 195+ total props today, below are the top ten NHL player props for April 4, ranked by probability.
Matthew Tkachuk to score a point (-230)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 71.8%
- Game: Panthers vs. Penguins (5:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Florida's Matthew Tkachuk going over 0.5 a point. A probability of 71.8% gives this play an edge of 2.1% at -230 odds.
Logan Stankoven over 1.5 shots on goal (-180)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 67.4%
- Game: Islanders vs. Hurricanes (7:00PM ET)
Logan Stankoven’s shots on goal prop shows a 67.4% probability and an 3.1% edge at -180 odds, according to our model.
Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal (-180)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 67.4%
- Game: Flames vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 67.4% probability and a 3.1% edge at -180.
Jake DeBrusk under 2.5 shots on goal (-135)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 61.3%
- Game: Mammoth vs. Canucks (7:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Jake DeBrusk under 2.5 shots on goal, with a 61.3% probability and an edge of 3.9% at -135 odds.
Justin Sourdif over 1.5 shots on goal (+100)
- Edge: 10.8%
- Probability: 60.8%
- Game: Sabres vs. Capitals (7:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Justin Sourdif over 1.5 shots on goal for Washington, showing an edge of 10.8% at +100 odds.
Brock Boeser to score a point (-125)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 59.2%
- Game: Mammoth vs. Canucks (7:00PM ET)
Brock Boeser’s point prop shows an edge of 3.6% at -125 odds, supported by a 59.2% probability according to our model.
Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal (-120)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Game: Canadiens vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal for Montreal, with a 58.8% probability and a 4.3% edge at -120 odds.
Connor McMichael over 1.5 shots on goal (-120)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Game: Sabres vs. Capitals (7:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Connor McMichael over 1.5 shots on goal, supported by a 58.6% probability at -120 odds and an edge of 4.1%.
William Nylander over 2.5 shots on goal (-115)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 56.6%
- Game: Maple Leafs vs. Kings (7:00PM ET)
A 3.1% edge on the over 1.5 shots on goal line makes William Nylander a value play in Maple Leafs vs. Kings, supported by a 56.6% probability at -115 odds.
Gustav Forsling over 1.5 shots on goal (-110)
- Edge: 3.9%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Game: Panthers vs. Penguins (5:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Gustav Forsling over 1.5 shots on goal here, with a 56.3% probability and 3.9% edge at -110 odds.
NHL player prop summary: Saturday, April 4, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 11:41AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Matthew Tkachuk to score a point | -230 @ DraftKings | 2.1% | 71.8% |
| Islanders vs. Hurricanes | Logan Stankoven over 1.5 shots on goal | -180 @ DraftKings | 3.1% | 67.4% |
| Flames vs. Ducks | Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal | -180 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 61.3% |
| Mammoth vs. Canucks | Jake DeBrusk under 2.5 shots on goal | -135 @ DraftKings | 3.9% | 61.3% |
| Sabres vs. Capitals | Justin Sourdif over 1.5 shots on goal | +100 @ DraftKings | 10.8% | 60.8% |
| Mammoth vs. Canucks | Brock Boeser to score a point | -125 @ DraftKings | 3.6% | 59.2% |
| Canadiens vs. Devils | Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal | -120 @ DraftKings | 4.3% | 58.8% |
| Sabres vs. Capitals | Connor McMichael over 1.5 shots on goal | -120 @ DraftKings | 4.1% | 58.6% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Kings | William Nylander over 1.5 shots on goal | -115 @ DraftKings | 3.1% | 56.6% |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Gustav Forsling over 1.5 shots on goal | -110 @ BetMGM | 3.9% | 56.3% |
Boost your betting success with Dimers Pro's NHL prop picks
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Conclusion
For April 4, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Matthew Tkachuk, Logan Stankoven and Chris Kreider. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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