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Sabres vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sabres vs. Capitals NHL game on April 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
6
Apr 4, 11PM Capital One Arena
Apr 4, 11PM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Capitals | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sabres | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Capitals | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
P3 19:55 Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Logan Thompson
P3 18:50 Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Colten Ellis
P3 18:34 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Colten Ellis
P3 16:04 Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Colten Ellis
P3 15:10 Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Logan Thompson
P3 13:56 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 11:31 Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
P3 10:56 Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Zach Metsa
P3 10:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Logan Thompson
P3 07:41 Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Colten Ellis
P3 05:34 Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Logan Thompson
P3 04:56 Shorthanded - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Zach Benson
P3 04:26 Power play - Shot missed by Sabres
P3 04:06 Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
P3 02:30 Tage Thompson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 01:48 Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
P3 00:54 Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by teammate
P2 18:16 Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Logan Thompson
P2 18:11 Jack Quinn shot blocked by teammate
P2 18:02 Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Logan Stanley saved by Logan Thompson
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Colten Ellis
Sabres won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Sabres won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Strome saved by Colten Ellis
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Logan Thompson
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in defensive zone
Sabres won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Beck Malenstyn
SHOT
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Zach Metsa
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Logan Thompson
Shorthanded - Connor McMichael won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Sabres won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Giveaway by Cole Hutson in defensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Colten Ellis
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Jakob Chychrun in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Beck Malenstyn saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shorthanded - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Zach Benson
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Sabres
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
SHOT
Tage Thompson shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Cole Hutson shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Power play - Ryan Leonard shot blocked by teammate
End of 2nd Period.
Shorthanded - Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Peyton Krebs in offensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Logan Thompson
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Tage Thompson saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Tage Thompson shot blocked by Martin Fehervary
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Logan Thompson
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Connor McMichael in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Beauvillier saved by Colten Ellis
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Logan Thompson
Penalty to Dylan Strome 2 minutes for Tripping
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Sabres won faceoff against Capitals in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Peyton Krebs saved by Logan Thompson
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Pierre-Luc Dubois in offensive zone
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Logan Thompson
Peyton Krebs won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Tage Thompson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Logan Thompson
Josh Norris won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in neutral zone
Penalty to Ryan Leonard 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Power play - Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Alex Tuch
Power play - Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Alex Tuch in offensive zone
Penalty to Zach Benson 2 minutes for Misconduct
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot missed by Brandon Duhaime
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot missed by Aliaksei Protas
Tage Thompson won faceoff against Pierre-Luc Dubois in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
End of 1st Period.
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jack Quinn
Tyson Kozak won faceoff against Anthony Beauvillier in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Alex Tuch
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Aliaksei Protas saved by Colten Ellis
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Jakob Chychrun
Matt Roy credited with hit on Josh Doan in defensive zone
Pierre-Luc Dubois won faceoff against Tage Thompson in neutral zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Beck Malenstyn
2-3
SHOT
Sabres shot blocked by Jordan Greenway
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Leonard saved by Colten Ellis
Josh Norris won faceoff against Justin Sourdif in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tom Wilson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Benson saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Owen Power shot blocked by Aliaksei Protas
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Logan Thompson
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McMichael saved by Colten Ellis
SHOT
Ethen Frank shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Hendrix Lapierre in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Roy saved by Colten Ellis
Justin Sourdif won faceoff against Tyson Kozak in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Rasmus Dahlin assisted by Josh Norris and Alex Tuch
1-3
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Logan Thompson
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor McMichael
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Samuelsson saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Tuch saved by Logan Thompson
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jakob Chychrun saved by Alex Lyon
Beck Malenstyn credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
Hendrix Lapierre won faceoff against Jordan Greenway in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Logan Thompson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Alex Lyon
Peyton Krebs credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in neutral zone
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 39 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 5/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 20 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
| |
|---|
| 39 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 52% | Faceoff Win % | 48% | |||
| 5/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 14 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 20 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 8 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 17 | Giveaways | 18 |
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Sabres vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Sabres vs. Capitals
- Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Sabres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Sabres -102, Capitals +105
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Sabres: 51%
- Capitals: 49%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Sabres a win probability of 51%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Sabres are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Sabres vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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