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Newcastle vs. Sunderland prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Sunderland predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Newcastle and Sunderland will lock horns in the Premier League on Sunday, starting at 8:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Sunderland game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Sunderland 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 56.2% chance of Newcastle winning, a 20.5% chance for Sunderland, and a 23.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Sunderland | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -143 | +420 | +295 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -110 | -106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland | +420 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -110 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Sunderland to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Newcastle win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-0 Sunderland | 11.4% |
| NEW 1-1 Sunderland | 11.1% |
| NEW 2-0 Sunderland | 10.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 48.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Newcastle and Sunderland is scheduled to start in the United States at 8:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle vs. Sunderland
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 56.2% win probability on Sunday, Sunderland has a 20.5% win probability, and there is a 23.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Sunderland insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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