Newcastle vs. Sunderland Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Sunderland Premier League match on March 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Sunderland
2
1
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
SunderlandSUN
A. Gordon (10')
Soccer ball icon
C. Talbi (57')
Soccer ball icon
B. Brobbey (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sunderland
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by B. Brobbey
    2-1
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Brobbey (Sunderland) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: E. Mayenda replaces B. Brobbey
  4. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: R. Mandava replaces C. Talbi
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Sadiki (Sunderland) cautioned
  6. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Geertruida (Sunderland) cautioned
  7. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Mandava (Sunderland) cautioned
  8. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: Y. Wissa replaces A. Gordon
  9. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: E. Le Fee replaces H. Diarra
  10. 82'
    Yellow Card
    O. Alderete (Sunderland) cautioned
  11. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces H. Barnes
  12. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
  13. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces N. Woltemade
  14. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces K. Trippier
  15. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by C. Talbi
    1-1
  16. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: M. Thiaw replaces S. Botman
  17. 44'
    Yellow Card
    T. Hume (Sunderland) cautioned
  18. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon, assisted by N. Woltemade
    0-1

Newcastle vs. Sunderland: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Sunderland
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -169, Sunderland +500, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 59.3%
  • Sunderland: 18.3%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-0 Sunderland (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Sunderland? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.3%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-0 Sunderland.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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