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Newcastle vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/22/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Manchester City predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Newcastle will face Manchester City in Premier League action on Saturday, starting at 12:30PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Manchester City game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 24.2% chance of Newcastle winning, a 53.5% chance for Manchester City, and a 22.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Manchester City odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Manchester City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +290 | -105 | +275 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -170 | +138 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Manchester City picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester City | -105 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +138 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Manchester City to win.
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-1 MCI | 10.3% |
| NEW 1-2 MCI | 9.7% |
| NEW 0-1 MCI | 8.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.7% chance that both teams scoring, and a 40.3% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Newcastle vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Newcastle and Manchester City is scheduled to commence in the United States at 12:30PM ET.
- Who: Newcastle vs. Manchester City
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 12:30PM ET/9:30AM PT
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 24.2% win probability on Saturday, Manchester City has a 53.5% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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