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Newcastle vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Manchester City Premier League match on November 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
1
2
Nov 22, 12:30 PM ET
Nov 22, 12:30 PM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
H. Barnes (63')
H. Barnes (70')
R. Dias (68')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Newcastle
- Manchester City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
O. Bobb (Manchester City) cautioned
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Manchester City: O. Marmoush replaces P. Foden
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Elanga replaces H. Barnes
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces N. Woltemade
Substitution for Manchester City: T. Reijnders replaces B. Silva
Substitution for Manchester City: O. Bobb replaces R. Cherki
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Botman replaces L. Hall
Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes
1-2
Goal scored for Manchester City by R. Dias
1-1
Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by Bruno Guimaraes
0-1
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Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Manchester City
- Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle +290, Manchester City -105, draw +280
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+138)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Newcastle: 24.2%
- Manchester City: 53.5%
- Draw: 22.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Manchester City (10.3%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Newcastle vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score
Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.5%.
The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Manchester City.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Manchester City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
