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Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Crystal Palace predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Newcastle will square off with Crystal Palace in Premier League action on Sunday, starting at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Crystal Palace 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 53.7% chance of Newcastle winning, a 23.4% chance for Crystal Palace, and a 22.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Crystal Palace | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -145 | +420 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -124 | +102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace | +420 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -124 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Crystal Palace to win.
Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-1 CRY | 10.7% |
| NEW 2-1 CRY | 9.8% |
| NEW 1-0 CRY | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.8% chance that both teams scoring, and a 43.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Newcastle and Crystal Palace is scheduled to commence in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: Chris Richards (USA)
Crystal Palace center-back Chris Richards is on the radar for USMNT fans this season as interest ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event driving interest in World Cup predictions and early conversation about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and one of four potential European qualifiers in Group D next year, Richards' form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 53.7% win probability on Sunday, Crystal Palace has a 23.4% win probability, and there is a 22.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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