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Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Premier League match on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
0
2
Jan 4, 10:00 AM ET
Jan 4, 10:00 AM ET
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
Bruno Guimaraes (71')
M. Thiaw (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Newcastle
- Crystal Palace
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces J. Murphy
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Drakes-Thomas replaces J. Mateta
Substitution for Crystal Palace: K. Rodney replaces A. Wharton
Substitution for Crystal Palace: R. Esse replaces Y. Pino
Substitution for Newcastle: N. Woltemade replaces Y. Wissa
Goal scored for Newcastle by M. Thiaw
0-2
Substitution for Crystal Palace: C. Uche replaces B. Johnson
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes, assisted by L. Miley
0-1
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces S. Tonali
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces L. Hall
A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
M. Guehi (Crystal Palace) cautioned
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Devenny replaces N. Clyne
T. Mitchell (Crystal Palace) cautioned
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Canvot replaces J. Lerma
B. Johnson (Crystal Palace) cautioned
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
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Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace
- Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Newcastle -145, Crystal Palace +400, draw +300
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+105)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Newcastle: 53.0%
- Crystal Palace: 24.0%
- Draw: 23.0%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Crystal Palace (10.8%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.
The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace? Prediction & correct score
Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.0%.
The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Crystal Palace.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
