Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace Premier League match on January 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Crystal Palace
0
2
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Crystal PalacePAL
Bruno Guimaraes (71')
Soccer ball icon
M. Thiaw (78')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Crystal Palace
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces J. Murphy
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Drakes-Thomas replaces J. Mateta
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: K. Rodney replaces A. Wharton
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: R. Esse replaces Y. Pino
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: N. Woltemade replaces Y. Wissa
  6. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by M. Thiaw
    0-2
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: C. Uche replaces B. Johnson
  8. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes, assisted by L. Miley
    0-1
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces A. Gordon
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces S. Tonali
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces L. Hall
  12. 62'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
  13. 55'
    Yellow Card
    M. Guehi (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  14. 52'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Devenny replaces N. Clyne
  15. 49'
    Yellow Card
    T. Mitchell (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  16. 38'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Canvot replaces J. Lerma
  17. 33'
    Yellow Card
    B. Johnson (Crystal Palace) cautioned
  18. 19'
    VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace
  • Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -145, Crystal Palace +400, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 53.0%
  • Crystal Palace: 24.0%
  • Draw: 23.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Crystal Palace (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Crystal Palace? Prediction & correct score

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.0%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Crystal Palace.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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