Newcastle vs. Chelsea Prediction, Odds, Premier League Picks [5/11/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Newcastle vs Chelsea matchup.

Newcastle-Chelsea Predictions and Game Preview.
St. James' Park sets the stage for the Premier League matchup between Newcastle and Chelsea this Sunday.

Premier League action continues on Sunday at 7:00AM ET as Chelsea locks horns with Newcastle at St. James' Park.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Newcastle as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Newcastle-Chelsea game," said Jason Bevilacqua from Dimers.

"After incorporating the most recent updates and numerous additional inputs, our prediction gives Newcastle a 41.7% chance of winning, Chelsea a 35.1% chance, and a 23.2% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Newcastle vs. Chelsea predictions page.

Newcastle vs. Chelsea Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Chelsea 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 41.7% chance of Newcastle winning, a 35.1% chance for Chelsea, and a 23.2% chance of a draw.

 

Newcastle vs. Chelsea Odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market Newcastle Chelsea Draw
Moneyline +130 +200 +270

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Newcastle vs. Chelsea Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Newcastle vs. Chelsea matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best Premier League picks and Premier League best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Newcastle vs. Chelsea: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
NEW 1-1 CHE 10.2%
NEW 2-1 CHE 8.7%
NEW 1-2 CHE 7.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 64.5% chance that both teams scoring, and a 35.5% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Newcastle vs. Chelsea Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's Premier League matchup between Newcastle and Chelsea at St. James' Park is scheduled to begin in the United States at 7:00AM ET.

  • Who: Newcastle vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
  • Time: 7:00AM ET/4:00AM PT
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Newcastle vs. Chelsea matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Chelsea vs. Newcastle picks, be sure to check out the latest Premier League predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 41.7% win probability on Sunday, Chelsea has a 35.1% win probability, and there is a 23.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Chelsea insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Premier League

Keep up with the latest Premier League betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds provide the latest projections for the Premier League title.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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