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Newcastle vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Chelsea at the Premier League on May 11, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
0
2
May 11, 11AM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
May 11, 11AM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
S. Tonali (2')
Soccer ball icon
Bruno Guimaraes (90')
Soccer ball icon
N. Jackson (36')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes, assisted by D. Burn
0-2
90'
Yellow Card
L. Colwill (Chelsea) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Isak
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Longstaff replaces Bruno Guimaraes
89'
Yellow Card
E. Krafth (Newcastle) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Sancho replaces T. Chalobah
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces R. Lavia
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Krafth replaces A. Gordon
64'
Yellow Card
J. Murphy (Newcastle) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces S. Botman
53'
Yellow Card
F. Schar (Newcastle) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces N. Madueke
45'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned
36'
Red Card
N. Jackson (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Tonali, assisted by J. Murphy
0-1

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Newcastle vs. Chelsea: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Chelsea prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +130, Chelsea +200, draw +270

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Newcastle: 41.7%
  • Chelsea: 35.1%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Newcastle 1-1 Chelsea, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 41.7% probability, while Chelsea sits at 35.1%, with the draw at 23.2%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Chelsea prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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