Newcastle vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Chelsea Premier League game on May 11, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

FINAL

PREMIER LEAGUE

Chelsea

May 11, 11AM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)

Newcastle

May 11, 11AM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

NewcastleNEW

Score Summary

ChelseaCFC

S. Tonali (2')

Bruno Guimaraes (90')

N. Jackson (36')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

NEW

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

CFC

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes, assisted by D. Burn

0-2

90'

L. Colwill (Chelsea) cautioned

90'

Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Isak

90'

Substitution for Newcastle: S. Longstaff replaces Bruno Guimaraes

89'

E. Krafth (Newcastle) cautioned

85'

Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned

75'

Substitution for Chelsea: J. Sancho replaces T. Chalobah

75'

Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces R. Lavia

65'

Substitution for Newcastle: E. Krafth replaces A. Gordon

64'

J. Murphy (Newcastle) cautioned

55'

Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces S. Botman

53'

F. Schar (Newcastle) cautioned

46'

Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces N. Madueke

45'

E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned

39'

E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned

36'

N. Jackson (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card

Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Tonali, assisted by J. Murphy

0-1

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Newcastle vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Newcastle vs. Chelsea
Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
Time: 7:00 AM ET
Venue: St. James' Park

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Newcastle +130, Chelsea +200, Draw +270

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Newcastle: 41.7%
Chelsea: 35.1%
Draw: 23.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Newcastle 1-1 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Newcastle a win probability of 41.7%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 35.1%. The chance of a draw is 23.2%.

Summary

Our Newcastle vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.