Mets vs. Giants prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/2/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants predictions for MLB Thursday.

New York Mets-San Francisco Giants Predictions and Game Preview.
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants MLB prediction for Thursday, April 2, 2026.

The San Francisco Giants and New York Mets will meet in MLB action at Oracle Park on Thursday, starting at 9:45 PM ET.

Robbie Ray (0-1, 3.38 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Giants, while the Mets will counter with David Peterson (0-0, 0.00 ERA).

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Giants.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Mets vs. Giants matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Giants, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 52% chance of defeating the Giants.

According to our model, the Giants (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Mets vs. Giants odds [4/2/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mets Giants
Run Line -1.5 (+140) +1.5 (-160)
Moneyline -118 +106
Total o8 (-115) u8 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Giants picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Giants +1.5 -160
Moneyline Giants +106
Total Over 8 -115

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Giants to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mets vs. Giants game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's MLB matchup between the Giants and Mets at Oracle Park is scheduled to start at 9:45 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Giants on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Giants insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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