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Read Article Mets vs. Giants prediction: San Francisco favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants predictions for MLB Sunday.
The San Francisco Giants and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at Oracle Park on Sunday, starting at 4:05 PM ET.
The Giants will start Logan Webb (1-1, 7.36 ERA), up against Kodai Senga (0-1, 3.00 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Giants a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Mets vs. Giants matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Giants, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Giants a 53% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 57% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Giants odds [4/5/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-214) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +107 | -115 |
| Total | o7 (-120) | u7 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Giants picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Giants -1.5 | +180 |
| Moneyline | Giants | -115 |
| Total | Over 7 | -120 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Giants game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Giants and Mets at Oracle Park is scheduled to start at 4:05 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 4:05 PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: Oracle Park
Conclusion
We predict the Giants, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Mets on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mets vs. Giants insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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