Mets vs. Giants prediction: Mets favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [4/3/2026]

The San Francisco Giants and New York Mets will meet in MLB action at Oracle Park on Friday, starting at 10:15 PM ET.

The Giants will have Tyler Mahle (0-1, 4.50 ERA) as their starting pitcher, pitting him against Nolan McLean (0-0, 3.60 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Giants.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Mets vs. Giants matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Giants, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Giants.

According to our model, the Giants (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54% chance of going over.

Mets vs. Giants odds [4/3/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Giants picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: