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Pelicans vs. Suns prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Orleans Pelicans vs Phoenix Suns predictions for NBA Friday.
The Phoenix Suns will square off with the New Orleans Pelicans in NBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Friday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Suns as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Suns game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Suns lineup will feature players like Devin Booker, Jalen Green and Grayson Allen, while the Pelicans will look to Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson and Saddiq Bey.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pelicans vs. Suns prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Suns 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Suns a 61% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Suns winning 115-112.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+3.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 228.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Pelicans vs. Suns odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pelicans | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-105) | -3.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +154 | -170 |
| Total | o228.5 (-106) | u228.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pelicans vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +154 |
| Total | Over 228.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Pelicans +3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pelicans vs. Suns player props
Looking for Pelicans vs. Suns NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Trey Murphy is expected to lead the Pelicans with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Devin Booker is projected to have 25 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Suns.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pelicans prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 23 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 42 |
| Zion Williamson | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 38 |
| Saddiq Bey | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Dejounte Murray | 15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Suns prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Suns:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 25 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 44 |
| Jalen Green | 19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 36 |
| Grayson Allen | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| C. Gillespie | 14 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 31 |
| Oso Ighodaro | 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 30 |
Pelicans vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Suns and Pelicans at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Friday, with Devin Booker projected for a game-high 44 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Suns insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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