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Pelicans vs. Lakers prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for 33 points in Tuesday's NBA game [3/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Los Angeles Lakers and New Orleans Pelicans are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday, starting at 10:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Pelicans vs. Lakers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Lakers lineup will feature players like Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Austin Reaves, while the Pelicans will rely on Trey Murphy, Zion Williamson and Saddiq Bey.
Doncic is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 33 points and 4 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pelicans vs. Lakers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Pelicans and Lakers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 75% chance of defeating the Pelicans. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 124-116.
According to our model, the Pelicans (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 242.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pelicans vs. Lakers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pelicans | Lakers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-112) | -8.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +275 | -330 |
| Total | o242.5 (-110) | u242.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pelicans vs. Lakers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pelicans +8.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Pelicans | +275 |
| Total | Under 242.5 | -105 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 242.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pelicans vs. Lakers player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Pelicans vs. Lakers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Trey Murphy is expected to lead the Pelicans with 26 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Luka Doncic is projected to have 33 points, 8 rebounds and 9 assists for the Lakers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pelicans prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pelicans are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy | 26 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 46 |
| Zion Williamson | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 37 |
| Saddiq Bey | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Dejounte Murray | 15 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 34 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 28 |
Lakers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lakers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 33 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 63 |
| LeBron James | 24 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 48 |
| Austin Reaves | 22 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40 |
| Deandre Ayton | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| Rui Hachimura | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
Pelicans vs. Lakers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Lakers and Pelicans at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lakers, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Pelicans on Tuesday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 63 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pelicans vs. Lakers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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