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New Mexico vs. Minnesota prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Rate Bowl [2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get New Mexico vs Minnesota predictions for college football Friday.

New Mexico-Minnesota Predictions and Game Preview.
New Mexico vs. Minnesota college football gameday prediction for Friday, December 26, 2025.

Minnesota will square off with New Mexico in the 2025 Rate (formerly the Guaranteed Rate Bowl) at Chase Field on Friday, beginning at 4:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college football model predicts Minnesota as the most likely winner of the New Mexico vs. Minnesota game.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Rate Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of the 2025 Rate Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Minnesota a 60% chance of beating New Mexico. Our predicted final score has Minnesota winning 24-21.

According to our model, Minnesota (-1.5) has a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 44.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

 

Rate Bowl odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type New Mexico Minnesota
Spread +1.5 (-105) -1.5 (-110)
Moneyline +106 -124
Total o44.5 (-105) u44.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

New Mexico vs. Minnesota picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Minnesota -1.5 -110
Moneyline Minnesota -124
Total Under 44.5 -108

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Minnesota -1.5 at the spread.

 

New Mexico vs. Minnesota game-day updates and essential details

Friday's college football matchup between Minnesota and New Mexico at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 4:30 PM ET.

  • Who: New Mexico vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
  • Venue: Chase Field

Conclusion

We predict Minnesota, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate New Mexico vs. Minnesota insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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