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Read Article New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New England Revolution vs Minnesota United predictions for MLS Saturday.
MLS action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as Minnesota squares off with New England at Gillette Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts New England as the most likely winner of the New England vs. Minnesota game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between New England and Minnesota, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 45.0% chance of New England winning, a 30.3% chance for Minnesota, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| New England | Minnesota | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +110 | +215 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +100 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Minnesota | +215 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +100 |
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Minnesota to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NER 1-1 MIN | 11.7% |
| NER 1-0 MIN | 9.3% |
| NER 2-1 MIN | 9.2% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between New England and Minnesota in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: New England Revolution vs. Minnesota United
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, New England has a 45.0% win probability on Saturday, Minnesota has a 30.3% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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