NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [2/17/2026]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of February 17, 2026, which considers every team's up-to-date NBA title chances.

Using our advanced predictive analytics model, this article will provide insights into the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the most favorable outlook of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and New York Knicks.

Current odds to win NBA championship [2/17/2026]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 37.3%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Knicks, Cavaliers, and Pistons.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 37.3%
• Championship Odds: +130

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 37.3% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +130 available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 48.2% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of -370 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 15.2%
• Championship Odds: +600

The Nuggets have a 15.2% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +600 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 21.8% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +350 for this scenario.

As well as supplying these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers has NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 6.7%
• Championship Odds: +1400

The Knicks are projected to have a 6.7% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +1400 at BetMGM.

New York, lead by Jalen Brunson, is rated with a 20.7% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +340 for this outcome.

Speaking of Jalen Brunson, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Knicks star are hitting their prop lines.

4. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 6.2%
• Championship Odds: +1300

The Cavaliers are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1300 can be found at BetMGM.

Looking at the conference probabilities, Cleveland is rated with a 21.2% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +360 for this scenario.

Wondering how Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. Detroit Pistons

• Dimers Probability: 5.8%
• Championship Odds: +1500

The Pistons are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1500 currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, Detroit is rated with a 19.7% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +380 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of February 17, 2026

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	37.3%	+130
Nuggets	15.2%	+600
Knicks	6.7%	+1400
Cavaliers	6.2%	+1300
Pistons	5.8%	+1500
Celtics	5.2%	+1500
Spurs	4.4%	+1600
Rockets	4.1%	+2200
Lakers	2.8%	+4500
Timberwolves	2.1%	+3500
76ers	1.5%	+5000
Warriors	1.4%	+17500
Hornets	1.0%	+20000
Bulls	0.8%	+250000
Heat	0.8%	+20000
Raptors	0.8%	+25000
Magic	0.7%	+12000
Suns	0.7%	+25000
Kings	0.6%	+500000
Bucks	0.6%	+100000
Grizzlies	0.4%	+300000
Pacers	0.4%	+500000
Hawks	0.3%	+75000
Clippers	0.2%	+50000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Washington Wizards
• Utah Jazz
• Brooklyn Nets
• Portland Trail Blazers
• New Orleans Pelicans
• Dallas Mavericks

Check out the latest odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on one of the teams that are still in the running.

Make informed NBA futures betting decisions today - 2/17/2026

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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