NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [2/10/2026]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of February 10, 2026, which covers every team's current NBA title chances.

Using our powerful predictive analytics model, this article will provide an analysis of the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the strongest chance of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and Cleveland Cavaliers.

Current odds to win NBA championship [2/10/2026]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 38.2%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Cavaliers, Knicks, and Celtics.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 38.2%
• Championship Odds: +135

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 38.2% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +135 available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 48.0% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of -380 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 16.5%
• Championship Odds: +600

The Nuggets have a 16.5% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +600 can be found at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 23.0% chance of winning the Western Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +340 for this scenario.

As well as providing these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers has NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. Cleveland Cavaliers

• Dimers Probability: 6.9%
• Championship Odds: +1400

The Cavaliers are projected to have a 6.9% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +1400 at BetMGM.

Cleveland, lead by Donovan Mitchell, is rated with a 22.2% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +375 for this outcome.

Speaking of Donovan Mitchell, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Cavaliers star are hitting their prop lines.

4. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 5.6%
• Championship Odds: +1600

The Knicks are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1600 can be found at BetMGM.

Looking at the conference probabilities, New York is rated with a 20.3% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +390 for this scenario.

Wondering how Jalen Brunson and the Knicks will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. Boston Celtics

• Dimers Probability: 5.1%
• Championship Odds: +1500

The Celtics are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1500 currently available at BetMGM.

Additionally, Boston is rated with a 18.4% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best odds of +900 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of February 10, 2026

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	38.2%	+135
Nuggets	16.5%	+600 🔥
Cavaliers	6.9%	+1400
Knicks	5.6%	+1600
Celtics	5.1%	+1500
Spurs	5.0%	+1500
Rockets	4.7%	+2200
Pistons	4.7%	+1600
Timberwolves	3.5%	+3000
Lakers	1.8%	+4500
76ers	1.6%	+5000
Hornets	1.0%	+20000
Clippers	1.0%	+70000
Hawks	1.0%	+60000
Warriors	0.8%	+20000
Magic	0.7%	+10000
Wizards	0.5%	+500000
Bulls	0.5%	+250000
Suns	0.4%	+25000
Heat	0.3%	+20000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Memphis Grizzlies
• Utah Jazz
• Brooklyn Nets
• Portland Trail Blazers
• New Orleans Pelicans
• Sacramento Kings
• Toronto Raptors
• Milwaukee Bucks
• Dallas Mavericks
• Indiana Pacers

Check out the most recent odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on any of the teams that are still in the running.

Make informed NBA futures betting decisions today - 2/10/2026

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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