NBA championship odds: Oklahoma City Thunder lead the way in latest NBA Finals predictions [2/3/2026]

The latest NBA championship odds have been updated as of February 3, 2026, which considers every team's current NBA title chances.

Using our powerful predictive analytics model, this article will provide insights into the probabiliuy of each NBA team winning the title this season.

According to Dimers' in-house NBA championship odds, the team with the greatest likelihood of winning the NBA title is the Oklahoma City Thunder, followed by the Denver Nuggets and New York Knicks.

Current odds to win NBA championship [2/3/2026]

After simulating the remainder of the regular season and playoffs, our supercomputer has identified the Thunder as the team most likely to become NBA champions, with a probability of 37.8%.

The top five contenders for the NBA championship also include the Nuggets, Knicks, Celtics, and Spurs.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder

• Dimers Probability: 37.8%
• Championship Odds: +130

The Thunder are currently projected to have a 37.8% chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, with the most favorable odds of +130 available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, Oklahoma City is rated with a 46.4% chance of winning the Western Conference, and DraftKings Sportsbook offers the best odds of -400 for this outcome.

2. Denver Nuggets

• Dimers Probability: 16.1%
• Championship Odds: +600

The Nuggets have a 16.1% chance of clinching the title, and the most favorable odds of +600 can be found at BetMGM.

Furthermore, Denver is rated with a 21.4% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +350 for this scenario.

As well as providing these odds and probabilities on the Nuggets to win the title, Dimers produces NBA player props throughout the season, including points, rebounds and assists projections for Nikola Jokic.

3. New York Knicks

• Dimers Probability: 6.3%
• Championship Odds: +1500

The Knicks are projected to have a 6.3% chance of securing the 2025/26 NBA title, and you can find the most favorable odds of +1500 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

New York, lead by Jalen Brunson, is rated with a 21.4% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +400 for this outcome.

Speaking of Jalen Brunson, make sure you check out our NBA betting trends, where you can find just how often players such as the Knicks star are hitting their prop lines.

4. Boston Celtics

• Dimers Probability: 5.6%
• Championship Odds: +1600

The Celtics are projected to have the next best chance of winning the 2025/26 NBA title, and the most favorable odds of +1600 can be found at BetMGM.

Looking at the conference probabilities, Boston is rated with a 18.8% chance of winning the Eastern Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +900 for this scenario.

Wondering how Jayson Tatum and the Celtics will fare in their next game? Our NBA predictions page has probabilities for the spread, moneyline and over/under for each and every game on the slate.

5. San Antonio Spurs

• Dimers Probability: 5.0%
• Championship Odds: +1500

The Spurs are projected to have the fifth best chance of securing the title, with the most favorable odds of +1500 currently available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Additionally, San Antonio is rated with a 8.3% chance of winning the Western Conference, and BetMGM offers the best odds of +360 for this outcome.

NBA title odds as of February 3, 2026

Here, we provide you with the full list of teams in order of most likely to least likely to win the title this season.

Team	Title Probability	Championship Odds
Thunder	37.8%	+130
Nuggets	16.1%	+600 🔥
Knicks	6.3%	+1500
Celtics	5.6%	+1600
Spurs	5.0%	+1500
Pistons	4.4%	+1600
Rockets	4.2%	+1900
Timberwolves	4.1%	+3500
Cavaliers	3.4%	+2500
Lakers	2.9%	+4500
76ers	2.7%	+4500
Magic	1.7%	+6500
Heat	1.2%	+8000
Clippers	0.8%	+8000
Warriors	0.8%	+10000
Jazz	0.7%	+250000
Nets	0.7%	+300000
Bulls	0.5%	+150000
Suns	0.5%	+25000
Mavericks	0.2%	+150000

NBA teams with a 0% chance of winning the championship

The teams on the list above are the ones that our predictive model thinks have at least a 0.1% chance of winning the NBA title this season. The teams below are either completely out of the running or have won none of our model's thousands of simulations of the rest of the season.

• Portland Trail Blazers
• Sacramento Kings
• Toronto Raptors
• Washington Wizards
• Charlotte Hornets
• New Orleans Pelicans
• Memphis Grizzlies
• Milwaukee Bucks
• Atlanta Hawks
• Indiana Pacers

Check out the latest odds to win the NBA championship if you want to bet on any of the teams that are still in the running.

Make smarter NBA futures betting decisions today - 2/3/2026

At Dimers, we take the responsibility of providing NBA futures picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our futures picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publishing.

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